Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.56 – ¥21.25 · the ¥13.11 price screens above the ¥4.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical, oil, and polyester products in China.
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Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of chemical, oil, and polyester products in China. It also provides polyolefins, aromatics, chemical and oil products, etc., which are widely used in covering new energy; new materials; organic chemicals; synthetic fibers, resins, and rubber; oil products, and other fields. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Hangzhou, China. Rongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Rongsheng Holding Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) currently trades at ¥13.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.18, implying the stock looks roughly 213.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥13.51 per share, and 5 of the 18 models we run sit above the ¥13.11 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.44, and 13 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 309B CNY in FY2025 versus 183B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was 848M CNY in FY2025, compounding −49.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 131B CNY (≈ $19.6B) · P/E ratio 41.0 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −68%, 002493 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.2900 to ¥21.88). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥4.18Fair Value ¥4.18Bull ¥4.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1597 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 3%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (6 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Compare Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 349 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.81× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)41.0× · Pricier than median
P/B2.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.02× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)28· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002493
Frequently asked questions
Is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.18 versus a price of ¥13.11, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002493?
Our model-based fair value for Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is ¥4.18 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.11.
What is the quality score of 002493?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.18 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 20 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.18, about −68% upside versus a price of ¥13.11 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 294B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +41.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.5 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002493 use?
Our models discount Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd that is +41.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd grew +23.5 % a year. The price currently implies +41.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (+41.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.12 %: that much free cash flow Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd it is ¥4.18 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥13.11. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 002493 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.11, fair value ¥4.18, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002493?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.18). For Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd the two are ¥8.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd at about 131B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.11; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.18 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 002493?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 002493?
The PEG ratio of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 1.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 2.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002493 from its 52-week high?
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd trades at ¥13.11, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥16.23 and 65% above the low of ¥7.96 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, A. Schulman, Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥13.11, calculated fair value ¥4.18 (−68%), Quality Score 39/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002493 calculated?
We run Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was ¥13.11. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.18, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The market capitalisation of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 131B CNY (≈ $19.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Earnings per share at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd are ¥0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The dividend yield of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 31.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The net margin of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
The operating margin of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Revenue at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is growing −19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493)?
Earnings per share at Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd are growing +383% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd (002493) carry?
The net debt of Rongsheng Petrochemical Co Ltd is 159B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 58.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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