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LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (MC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €242B

LM LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, MC · PA
Price€458.40
Fair Value€485.33
Upside+5.9%
Quality73/100
Watch LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.64% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range €342.30 – €606.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from €342.30 (bear) to €606.66 (bull), base €485.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 73/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€837.37 €426.85 Fair Value €485.33 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €426.85 – €837.37 · fair‑value band €342.30 – €606.66 · the €458.40 price screens below the €485.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (MC) currently trades at €458.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €485.33, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. Net debt stands at €27.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €342.30 (bear case) to €606.66 (bull case); at €458.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 6%, MC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €384.33 €656.69 €1,125 80
Residual Income €149.92 €187.70 €462.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF €208.18 €316.92 €450.66 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €380.69 €657.55 €1,129 38
Owner Earnings €344.71 €595.89 €1,023 31
5Y Revenue Exit €208.18 €314.10 €447.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €390.34 €671.02 €1,010 41
5Y P/E Exit €341.39 €575.10 €829.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit €258.36 €374.72 €531.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €383.99 €634.75 €990.33 37
10Y P/E Exit €351.48 €564.87 €843.58 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €150.01 €573.77 €777.26 54
Lynch FV €139.75 €199.65 €259.54 50
PEG = 1.0 €139.75 €199.65 €259.54 46
EPV €240.14 €283.82 €322.64 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €130.87 €285.72 €480.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage €130.87 €234.05 €297.77 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €364.00 €485.33 €606.66 63
P/S Multiple €147.49 €196.65 €245.81 58
P/B Multiple €281.27 €375.03 €468.78 55
EV/EBIT €476.69 €638.04 €799.38 53
EV/EBITDA €436.21 €584.06 €731.91 54
EV/Revenue €130.30 €189.30 €248.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €68.42 €91.68 €136.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €384.33 €656.69 €1,125 80
Rev-Margin DCF €208.18 €316.92 €450.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €149.92 €187.70 €462.34 76
ROIC Compounder €267.38 €361.67 €485.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €261.11 €373.02 €484.92 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€575.10) versus Asset-Based (€91.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €80.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net margin 13.5%
Return on equity 16.2%
Free cash flow €15.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 21.2%
EPS (TTM) €21.84
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.4%
Net debt €27.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide.

Full company description

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide. It offers wine and spirit products under the Ao Yun, Ardbeg, Armand de Brignac, Belvedere, Bodega Numanthia, Chandon, Cheval des Andes, Château Cheval Blanc, Château Galoupet, Château d'Yquem, Château d'Esclans, Cloudy Bay, Colgin Cellars, Dom Pérignon, Domaine des Lambrays, Eminente, Glenmorangie, Hennessy, Joseph Phelps, Krug, Mercier, Minuty, Moët & Chandon, Newton Vineyard, Ruinart, SirDavis, Terrazas de los Andes, Veuve Clicquot, Volcan de mi Tierra, and Woodinville brands; fashion and leather products under Barton Perreira,Berluti, Celine, Christian Dior, Fendi, Givenchy, Kenzo, Loewe, Loro Piana, Louis Vuitton, Marc Jacobs, Moynat, Patou, Pucci, Rimowa, and Vuarnet brands; and perfumes and cosmetics products under the Acqua di Parma, Benefit Cosmetics, Fenty Beauty by Rihanna, Fresh, Givenchy Parfums, Guerlain, Kenzo Parfums, Loewe Perfumes, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, Make Up For Ever, OLEHENRIKSEN, Officine Universelle Buly, and Parfums Christian Dior brands. The company also provides watches and jewelry under the Bvlgari, Chaumet, DANIEL ROTH, Fred, Gérald Genta, Hublot, L'Epée 1839, Repossi, TAG Heuer, Tiffany & Co., and Zenith brands; and selective retailing under the 24S, DFS, La Grande Épicerie de Paris, Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche, Samaritaine, and Sephora brands. In addition, it offers french business and cultural publications under the Les Echos group brand; custom-designed yachts under the Feadship brand; hotels under the Cheval Blanc and Belmond brands; and other activities under the Connaissance des Arts, Cova, Investir, Jardin d'Acclimatation, Le Parisien, Paris Match, and Radio Classique brands. LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne was founded in 1365 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €10.9B in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€80.8B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €64.2B
FY22 €79.2B
FY23 €86.2B
FY24 €84.7B
FY25 €80.8B
Net income −2.5%/yr
FY21 €12.0B
FY22 €14.1B
FY23 €15.2B
FY24 €12.6B
FY25 €10.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.5 pp

of which total revenue +10.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin +3.0 pp
Tax rate +0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MC.PA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 18.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.95× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 65 · sector 40
HEALTH 91 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 193.70 CHF 119.08 -39%
Christian Dior SE DIO €423.60 €1,095 +159%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 771.40 kr 1,424 +85%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹596.70 ₹238.57 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (MC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €485.33 versus a price of €458.40, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MC?
Our model-based fair value for LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, is €485.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €458.40.
What is the quality score of MC?
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (MC)?
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €80.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MC?
The net profit margin of LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, is about 13.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, pay a dividend?
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.70% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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