Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (0520) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$289M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2713 to HK$0.2723 (+0.4%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1925 to HK$0.3718) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2350 – HK$17.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1925 – HK$0.3718 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.2723 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings (0520) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2723, implying the stock looks roughly 2.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings generated revenue of HK$3.8B at a net margin of -7.9%. Revenue declined 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.4%. Net debt stands at HK$637M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1925 (bear case) to HK$0.3718 (bull case); at HK$0.2800, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -3%, 0520 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.83) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Chinese hotpot restaurants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company owns and operates restaurants under the Xiabuxiabu brand name, and restaurants under the Coucou brand name.
Full company description
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Chinese hotpot restaurants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company owns and operates restaurants under the Xiabuxiabu brand name, and restaurants under the Coucou brand name. It also provides catering services; and sells condiment products and other goods. In addition, the company engages in the slaughtering, processing, cold storage, and sale of raw materials; and construction business. Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Ying Qi Investments Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiabuxiabu Catering Management (China) Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.7B in FY2025 versus HK$6.2B in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$293M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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