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China Railway Group (601390) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 116B CNY

Price¥4.65
Fair Value¥21.65
Upside+365.6%
Quality85/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥15.01 – ¥28.15

Analysis

China Railway Group (601390) currently trades at ¥4.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 365.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 85/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

China Railway Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction and engineering contractor business in China and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Engineering Construction; Design Consulting; Equipment Manufacturing; Specialty Real Estate; Asset Management; and Resource Utilization. It constructs railways, highways, bridges, tunnels, urban rail transits, stations and buildings, municipal facilities, and other projects; offers consulting and planning, feasibility study, survey and design, research and development, and construction supervisio…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.