Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A ¥1.95, price ¥11.03, upside -82.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.00 – ¥20.28 · fair‑value band ¥1.46 – ¥2.91 · the ¥11.03 price screens above the ¥1.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of chemical pharmaceutical preparations, APIs, and pharmaceutical intermediates in China and internationally. It offers FDF for cardiovascular; and pellets for excipient, antiulcerative, diabetes drug, anti-inflammatory, and anti-anginals.
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Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of chemical pharmaceutical preparations, APIs, and pharmaceutical intermediates in China and internationally. It offers FDF for cardiovascular; and pellets for excipient, antiulcerative, diabetes drug, anti-inflammatory, and anti-anginals. The company is also involved in the process development, quality research, and registration of chemical drugs. In addition, it provides branding services of drug products, as well as academic services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, China.
Stock analysis
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) currently trades at ¥11.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.95, 82.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥2.44 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥11.03 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3600, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.46 (bear) to ¥2.91 (bull), the price of ¥11.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −63.5M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.7B CNY (≈ $551M) · P/S ratio 2.81 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1500 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −82%, 002923 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.3600 to ¥6.74). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥1.46Fair Value ¥1.95Bull ¥2.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.3% (2020) → 1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.1% a year for the price.
Compare Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 599 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−82.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.53× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF6.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)38· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002923
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.95 versus a price of ¥11.03, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002923?
Our model-based fair value for Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is ¥1.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.03.
What is the quality score of 002923?
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.46, optimistic scenario ¥2.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.95, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥11.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.46, optimistic scenario ¥2.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +31.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002923 use?
Our models discount Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A that is +31.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A grew -1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +31.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (+31.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.34 %: that much free cash flow Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A it is ¥1.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥11.03. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002923 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.03, fair value ¥1.95, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002923?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.95). For Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥9.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A at about 3.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002923?
Our models span a range for Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥1.46, base ¥1.95, optimistic ¥2.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥11.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.7%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002923 from its 52-week high?
Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥11.03, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥17.35 and 18% above the low of ¥9.32 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥11.03, calculated fair value ¥1.95 (−82%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002923 calculated?
We run Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥11.03. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.95, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥1.46 to ¥2.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A grew +0.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.0 %, EBIT margin −5.6 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The market capitalisation of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 3.7B CNY (≈ $551M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 2.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Earnings per share at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A are ¥−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The dividend yield of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The net margin of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
The operating margin of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Revenue at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is growing +20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923)?
Earnings per share at Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A are growing −88.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A (002923) carry?
The net debt of Zhuhai Rundu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Class A is 187M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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