Exicure Hitron Inc (019490) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · KR · Market cap 41.3B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (73.16 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (38.63 KRW to 73.16 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 541.00 KRW – 11,800 KRW · fair‑value band 38.63 KRW – 73.16 KRW · the 541.00 KRW price screens above the 58.53 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Exicure Hitron Inc (019490) currently trades at 541.00 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 58.53 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 89.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.8B KRW. Revenue declined 39.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -76.7%. Net debt stands at 4.3B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 38.63 KRW (bear case) to 73.16 KRW (bull case); at 541.00 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -89%, 019490 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (108.46 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (104.08 KRW). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 18 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Exicure Hitron Inc. manufactures and sells security devices in Korea and internationally. The company offers network cameras, such as box/housing, indoor dome, VP dome, bullet, PTZ, corrosion proof, and specialty cameras; and network video recorders, such as NVR and virtual matrix.
Full company description
Exicure Hitron Inc. manufactures and sells security devices in Korea and internationally. The company offers network cameras, such as box/housing, indoor dome, VP dome, bullet, PTZ, corrosion proof, and specialty cameras; and network video recorders, such as NVR and virtual matrix. It also provides analog cameras comprising AHD, TVI, box/housing, dome, bullet, PTZ, AF, and specialty cameras. In addition, the company offers digital video recorders; and storage, controller, housing, bracket, ETC, and encoder accessories. Further, it provides integrated surveillance system solutions. The company was formerly known as Hitron Systems Inc. and changed its name to Exicure Hitron Inc. in January 2025. Exicure Hitron Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Anseong-si, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exicure Hitron Inc reported revenue of 5.3B KRW in FY2025 versus 27.5B KRW in FY2021, a compound −33.7%/yr. Reported net income was −28.1B KRW in FY2025.
019490 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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