Century Sunshine Group (0509) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$19.5M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1508 to HK$0.2720 (+80.4%) since Aug 2, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1984). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1984 to HK$0.3969) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1100 – HK$2.52 · fair‑value band HK$0.1984 – HK$0.3969 · the HK$0.1700 price screens below the HK$0.2720 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Century Sunshine Group (0509) currently trades at HK$0.1700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2720, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Century Sunshine Group generated revenue of HK$330M at a net margin of -27.6%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -53.8%. Net debt stands at HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1984 (bear case) to HK$0.3969 (bull case); at HK$0.1700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at 60%, 0509 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the fertilizer, magnesium product, and metallurgical flux businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company offers organic, si-mg, functional, and ecological fertilizers for use in food crops, such as tea, fruits, vegetables, peanuts, bamboo grove, eucalyptus, etc.
Full company description
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the fertilizer, magnesium product, and metallurgical flux businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company offers organic, si-mg, functional, and ecological fertilizers for use in food crops, such as tea, fruits, vegetables, peanuts, bamboo grove, eucalyptus, etc. under the Le He He, Feng Shou, Zhan Lan, Yanyangtian, and Dongfanghong brands, as well as magnesium products and rare earth magnesium alloys. It also explores for, processes, and sells serpentine. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Century Sunshine Group reported revenue of HK$316M in FY2023 versus HK$4.3B in FY2019, a compound −48.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$237M in FY2023.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $76.22 | $27.81 | -64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$93.60 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | -23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $120.01 | $161.00 | +34% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 418.10 | kr 67.25 | -84% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.12 | +41% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | -17% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,089 | ₹1,129 | -46% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹570.50 | ₹387.06 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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