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China Silver Technology Holdings (0515) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$49.4M

CS China Silver Technology Holdings 0515 · HK
PriceHK$0.1730
Fair ValueHK$0.0935
Upside-46.0%
Quality5/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -131.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1445 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1445). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (5/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0680 to HK$0.1445) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.30 HK$0.1730 Fair Value HK$0.0935 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1730 – HK$2.30 · fair‑value band HK$0.0680 – HK$0.1445 · the HK$0.1730 price screens above the HK$0.0935 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Silver Technology Holdings (0515) currently trades at HK$0.1730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0935, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 5/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$40.3M. Net debt stands at HK$326M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0680 (bear case) to HK$0.1445 (bull case); at HK$0.1730, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -46%, 0515 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2200 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.2300) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$40.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) -90.2%
Net margin -131%
Return on equity -8,578%
Free cash flow −HK$73.4M FY2024
Operating margin -147%
More key figures
Net debt HK$326M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 5/100

Of which business quality 7 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Silver Technology Holdings Limited manufactures and trades in light emitting diode (LED) lighting products and printed circuit boards (PCBs) in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, other Asian countries, Hungary, Turkey, Germany, and rest of Europe.

Full company description

China Silver Technology Holdings Limited manufactures and trades in light emitting diode (LED) lighting products and printed circuit boards (PCBs) in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, other Asian countries, Hungary, Turkey, Germany, and rest of Europe. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading of Single-Sided PCB; Manufacturing and Trading of Double-Sided PCB; and Manufacturing and Trading of Multi-Layered PCB segments. The company also trades in towers and electric cables. Its products are used in consumer electronics, computers and computer peripherals, and communications equipment. The company was formerly known as TC Orient Lighting Holdings Limited and changed its name to China Silver Technology Holdings Limited in July 2020. China Silver Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Yuen Long, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

China Silver Technology Holdings reported revenue of HK$40.3M in FY2024 versus HK$238M in FY2020, a compound −35.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$52.9M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
HK$40.3M
Latest YoY
−84.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−52.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−31.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.5%
Revenue −35.8%/yr
FY20 HK$238M
FY21 HK$375M
FY22 HK$260M
FY23 HK$262M
FY24 HK$40.3M
Net income
FY20 −HK$74.4M
FY21 −HK$3.9M
FY22 −HK$41.1M
FY23 −HK$31.0M
FY24 −HK$52.9M

0515 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Silver Technology Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0515

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 647 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 5 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -131% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -147% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -90% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 36
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,730 TWD 830.20 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 602.00 TWD 289.26 TWD -52%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Silver Technology Holdings (0515) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0935 versus a price of HK$0.1730, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0515?
Our model-based fair value for China Silver Technology Holdings is HK$0.0935 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1730.
What is the quality score of 0515?
China Silver Technology Holdings has a Quality Score of 5/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Silver Technology Holdings (0515)?
China Silver Technology Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$40.3M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0515?
The net profit margin of China Silver Technology Holdings is about -131.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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