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Sino Oil and Gas Holdings (0702) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$114M

SO Sino Oil and Gas Holdings 0702 · HK
PriceHK$0.0340
Fair ValueHK$0.0394
Upside+15.9%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0258 – HK$0.0802 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0258 to HK$0.0802). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4200 HK$0.0340 Fair Value HK$0.0394 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0340 – HK$0.4200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0258 – HK$0.0802 · the HK$0.0340 price screens below the HK$0.0394 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings (0702) currently trades at HK$0.0340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0394, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$414M. Revenue grew 27.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$2.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0258 (bear case) to HK$0.0802 (bull case); at HK$0.0340, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 16%, 0702 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.1300 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0600 HK$0.1700 74
EV/Revenue HK$0.0100 HK$0.0400 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0400 HK$0.1500 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0500 HK$0.1600 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0600 HK$0.1300 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0100 HK$0.0400 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.1300 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0600 HK$0.1700 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.0500) versus Multiples (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$414M
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.6%
Net margin -254%
Return on equity -418%
Free cash flow HK$25.7M FY2023
Operating margin 38.8%
More key figures
Net debt HK$2.1B FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in exploration, development, and production of coalbed methane in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company also engages in raw coal washing, and sale of raw and cleaned coal; exploitation and sale of crude oil and natural gas; and provision for financial services.

Full company description

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in exploration, development, and production of coalbed methane in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company also engages in raw coal washing, and sale of raw and cleaned coal; exploitation and sale of crude oil and natural gas; and provision for financial services. It also holds interest in the Sanjiao block CBM field covering an area of 383 square kilometers located in Ordos Basin, China. The company was formerly known as Genesis Energy Holdings Limited and changed its name to Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited in July 2010. Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings reported revenue of HK$370M in FY2023 versus HK$477M in FY2019, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.1B in FY2023.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
HK$370M
Latest YoY
−31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Revenue −6.1%/yr
FY19 HK$477M
FY20 HK$325M
FY21 HK$394M
FY22 HK$543M
FY23 HK$370M
Net income
FY19 −HK$228M
FY20 −HK$183M
FY21 −HK$786M
FY22 −HK$553M
FY23 −HK$1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0702

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 99 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 64

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sino Oil and Gas Holdings (0702) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0394 versus a price of HK$0.0340, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0702?
Our model-based fair value for Sino Oil and Gas Holdings is HK$0.0394 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0340.
What is the quality score of 0702?
Sino Oil and Gas Holdings has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sino Oil and Gas Holdings (0702)?
Sino Oil and Gas Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$414M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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