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Huscoke Holdings (0704) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$38.6M

HH Huscoke Holdings 0704 · HK
PriceHK$0.1330
Fair ValueHK$0.0600
Upside-54.9%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -90.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0400 – HK$0.1000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0400 to HK$0.1000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.43 HK$0.0510 Fair Value HK$0.0600 Oct 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$2.43 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.1000 · the HK$0.1330 price screens above the HK$0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Huscoke Holdings (0704) currently trades at HK$0.1330, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 54.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huscoke Holdings generated revenue of HK$29.0M at a net margin of -90.9%. Revenue declined 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.5%. Net debt stands at HK$218M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0400 (bear case) to HK$0.1000 (bull case); at HK$0.1330, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 209% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -55%, 0704 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.5400 HK$0.9000 HK$1.17 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0900 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.5400 HK$0.9000 HK$1.17 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.5400 HK$0.8600 HK$0.9700 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.51 HK$2.02 HK$3.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.02) versus Multiples (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$29.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.1%
Net margin -90.9%
Return on equity -2.5%
Free cash flow HK$746K FY2024
Operating margin -23.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) -67.0%
Net debt HK$218M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huscoke Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, trades in, and exports coke in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Coke Trading, Coal-Related Ancillary, and Coke Production. The Coke Trading segment purchases and sells coke and coal.

Full company description

Huscoke Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, trades in, and exports coke in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Coke Trading, Coal-Related Ancillary, and Coke Production. The Coke Trading segment purchases and sells coke and coal. The Coal-Related Ancillary segment is involved in the washing of raw coal into refined coal for sale and processing, as well as sale of electricity and heat, which are generated as the by-products during the washing of raw coal. The Coke Production segment processes refined coal into coke for sale, as well as sells coke by-products generated during coke production. The company also produces and trades in tar, crude benzene, and sulfur, as well as engages in the clean energy development and utilization of coke oven gas business. The company was formerly known as Huscoke Resources Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huscoke Holdings Limited in January 2019. Huscoke Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Huscoke Holdings reported revenue of HK$34.2M in FY2024 versus HK$1.2B in FY2020, a compound −58.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$29.5M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
HK$34.2M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−65.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−53.7%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.7%
Revenue −58.7%/yr
FY20 HK$1.2B
FY21 HK$867M
FY22 HK$27.8M
FY23 HK$2.4M
FY24 HK$34.2M
Net income
FY20 −HK$533M
FY21 −HK$31.2M
FY22 HK$1.0B
FY23 −HK$35.5M
FY24 −HK$29.5M

0704 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huscoke Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0704

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 99 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -91% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huscoke Holdings (0704) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0600 versus a price of HK$0.1330, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0704?
Our model-based fair value for Huscoke Holdings is HK$0.0600 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1330.
What is the quality score of 0704?
Huscoke Holdings has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huscoke Holdings (0704)?
Huscoke Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$29.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0704?
The net profit margin of Huscoke Holdings is about -90.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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