LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$143M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.3000 to HK$0.2834 (−5.5%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 192% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1914). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0400 – HK$0.2300 · fair‑value band HK$0.1914 – HK$0.2834 · the HK$0.0970 price screens below the HK$0.2834 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) currently trades at HK$0.0970, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2834, implying the stock looks roughly 192.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$140M at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1914 (bear case) to HK$0.2834 (bull case); at HK$0.0970, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at 192%, 1281 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.5100) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinda Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates solar power plants and public infrastructure construction business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Smart Energy Business and Public Infrastructure Construction Business segments.
Full company description
Xinda Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates solar power plants and public infrastructure construction business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Smart Energy Business and Public Infrastructure Construction Business segments. The company engages in the sale of household solar power generation systems; and provision of other industrial chain services, including multi-energy complementation of electricity, heat, and gas, as well as smart operation and maintenance, energy trade, and energy efficiency analysis services to industrial, commercial, residential, and public institutions. It is also involved in the construction and related preliminary investment businesses, as well as providing post-construction, operation, and management services of public infrastructure. In addition, the company owns and operates 11 ground and commercial distributed solar power plants with an installed capacity of approximately 64 megawatts; possession and operation of 18 MW household solar power plants; and total power generation capacity of the above solar power plants was approximately 100,858 MWh. The company was formerly known as LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Limited and changed its name to Xinda Investment Holdings Limited in August 2022. Xinda Investment Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Gaobeidian, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$140M in FY2025 versus HK$463M in FY2021, a compound −25.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$12.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $278.68 | $88.09 | -68% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $146.68 | $50.39 | -66% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹206.10 | ₹75.57 | -63% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.93 | ¥2.79 | -29% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 65.00 THB | 39.25 THB | -40% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $120.66 | $53.91 | -55% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,583 | ₹342.02 | -78% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $365.07 | $43.55 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥6.29 | ¥4.95 | -21% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$57.30 | HK$30.76 | -46% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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