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LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd HK$0.17, price HK$0.10, upside +66.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · HK · Based in China · ISIN KYG5636J1022

LS Thin data Oct 3, 2026

LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd

1281 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value HK$0.1700 · Strongly undervalued (+66.7%)
Quality 66/100
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −18.8 %/yr in CNY)
Narrow moat 23/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2300 HK$0.0400 Fair Value HK$0.1700 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0400 – HK$0.2300 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$0.1020 price screens below the HK$0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Xinda Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates solar power plants and public infrastructure construction business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Smart Energy Business and Public Infrastructure Construction Business segments.

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Xinda Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates solar power plants and public infrastructure construction business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Smart Energy Business and Public Infrastructure Construction Business segments. The company engages in the sale of household solar power generation systems; and provision of other industrial chain services, including multi-energy complementation of electricity, heat, and gas, as well as smart operation and maintenance, energy trade, and energy efficiency analysis services to industrial, commercial, residential, and public institutions. It is also involved in the construction and related preliminary investment businesses, as well as providing post-construction, operation, and management services of public infrastructure. In addition, the company owns and operates 11 ground and commercial distributed solar power plants with an installed capacity of approximately 64 megawatts; possession and operation of 18 MW household solar power plants; and total power generation capacity of the above solar power plants was approximately 100,858 MWh. The company was formerly known as LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Limited and changed its name to Xinda Investment Holdings Limited in August 2022. Xinda Investment Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Gaobeidian, China.

Stock analysis

LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) currently trades at HK$0.1020, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6500 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.1020 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2200 (bull), the price of HK$0.1020 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd reported revenue of 140M CNY in FY2025 versus 463M CNY in FY2021, a compound −25.8%/yr. Reported net income was 12.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$151M (≈ $19.3M) · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 0.94 · Net margin 9.2% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% · Operating margin −1.4% · Revenue (TTM) 113M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 67%, 1281 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Bull HK$0.2200
Price HK$0.1020 · Upside +66.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.8500 HK$1.30 HK$1.98 80
Growth DCF HK$0.8500 HK$1.25 HK$1.79 78
Owner Earnings HK$0.4300 HK$0.6500 HK$0.9800 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.8500 HK$1.30 HK$1.98 80
Owner Earnings HK$0.4300 HK$0.6500 HK$0.9800 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.4800 HK$0.5800 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.8100 76
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.5200 HK$0.6200 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5500 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8200 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.6000 HK$0.7800 HK$0.9900 70
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.5600 HK$0.7000 HK$0.8500 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 64
Lynch FV HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 57
EPV HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2300 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2400 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4400 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2200 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3300 HK$0.4400 HK$0.6600 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.8500 HK$1.25 HK$1.79 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3700 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5400 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4500 HK$0.4200 HK$0.4100 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+64.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+64.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.64.7% vs −14.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 74 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +66.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −29.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 71
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $254.02 $92.53 −64%
Vistra Corp VST $140.83 $20.60 −85%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹202.75 ₹75.57 −63%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥4.19 ¥2.18 −48%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 59.25 THB 65.18 THB +10%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $96.93 $74.44 −23%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,339 ₹335.95 −75%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$59.15 HK$33.65 −43%
Huaneng Power International, Inc 600011 ¥6.74 ¥9.10 +35%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.36 ¥3.65 −32%

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LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1700 +40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1281

Frequently asked questions

Is LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.1020, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1281?
Our model-based fair value for LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1020.
What is the quality score of 1281?
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about +67% upside versus a price of HK$0.1020 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 113M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1020. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 1281 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1020, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about +67% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1281?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1020); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd the two are HK$0.0680 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd worth?
The market values LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd at about HK$151M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1020; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1281?
Our models span a range for LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2200 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$0.1020). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1281?
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
Balance-sheet figures for LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1281 from its 52-week high?
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd trades at HK$0.1020, about 14% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1190 and 19% above the low of HK$0.0860 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$0.1020, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (+67%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1281 calculated?
We run LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.1020. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about +67% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The market capitalisation of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is HK$151M (≈ $19.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is 0.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The net margin of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is 9.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
The operating margin of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
Revenue at LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is growing −29.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281)?
Earnings per share at LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd are growing +355% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) generate?
The free cash flow of LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd is 87.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd (1281) hold?
LongiTech Smart Energy Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 3.2M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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