China South City Holdings Ltd (1668) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$1.2B

Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1520). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1520 to HK$0.3750) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1060 – HK$0.8217 · fair‑value band HK$0.1520 – HK$0.3750 · the HK$0.1070 price screens below the HK$0.2680 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China South City Holdings Ltd (1668) currently trades at HK$0.1070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2680, implying the stock looks roughly 150.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$4.1B. Revenue declined 51.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.5%. Net debt stands at HK$30.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1520 (bear case) to HK$0.3750 (bull case); at HK$0.1070, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 150%, 1668 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.56) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2700). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

China South City Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates integrated logistics and trade centers in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, and Others segments.

Full company description

China South City Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates integrated logistics and trade centers in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, and Others segments. The company offers a trading platform of raw materials and finished products for domestic and international wholesale suppliers, traders, manufacturers, distributors, and end users; and sells and leases trade center units for businesses to display and sell their products. It also operates and manages outlets, which offers sports, outdoor, casual, and men's and women's fashion wear; and an e-commerce platform. In addition, the company provides warehousing management services; develops residential and commercial ancillary facilities; and arranges on-site third party delivery and distribution services. Further, the company offers property management; convention and exhibition services; and consulting, logistics, micro-credit, and other services. China South City Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China South City Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$4.1B in FY2025 versus HK$11.3B in FY2021, a compound −22.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.0B in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.