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Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd (1915) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$159M

YG Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd 1915 · HK
PriceHK$0.2650
Fair ValueHK$0.5300
Upside+100.0%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.6% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3960 – HK$0.6640 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3960). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.57 HK$0.2650 Fair Value HK$0.5300 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2650 – HK$3.57 · fair‑value band HK$0.3960 – HK$0.6640 · the HK$0.2650 price screens below the HK$0.5300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd (1915) currently trades at HK$0.2650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$52.3M at a net margin of -9.6%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3960 (bear case) to HK$0.6640 (bull case); at HK$0.2650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 100%, 1915 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5700 67
EPV HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5700 59
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5600 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9400 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5700 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.09 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.5600 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9400 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7200 HK$0.9700 HK$1.45 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.4700 HK$0.5200 HK$0.5700 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.9700) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.5200). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$52.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.8%
Net margin -9.6%
Return on equity -0.6%
Free cash flow −HK$2.5M FY2023
Operating margin 155%
More key figures
Net cash HK$279K FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Company Limited grants loans to agriculture, rural areas, and farmers in the People's Republic of China. The company also provides financial guarantees, and internet and related services; and acts as an agent for automotive services and others.

Full company description

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Company Limited grants loans to agriculture, rural areas, and farmers in the People's Republic of China. The company also provides financial guarantees, and internet and related services; and acts as an agent for automotive services and others. It serves small and medium-sized, and micro enterprises, as well as individual proprietors. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Yangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$52.4M in FY2023 versus HK$94.0M in FY2019, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.2M in FY2023.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
HK$52.4M
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Revenue −13.6%/yr
FY19 HK$94.0M
FY20 HK$76.6M
FY21 HK$62.5M
FY22 HK$53.5M
FY23 HK$52.4M
Net income
FY19 HK$50.1M
FY20 HK$36.7M
FY21 HK$4.6M
FY22 −HK$9.8M
FY23 −HK$8.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1915

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 155% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 0 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd (1915) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5300 versus a price of HK$0.2650, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1915?
Our model-based fair value for Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd is HK$0.5300 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2650.
What is the quality score of 1915?
Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd (1915)?
Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$52.3M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1915?
The net profit margin of Yangzhou Guangling District Taihe Rural Micro-finance Co Ltd is about -9.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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