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2625 (2625) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$549M

2 2625 2625 · HK
PriceHK$2.33
Fair ValueHK$3.59
Upside+54.1%
Quality26/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$2.69 – HK$4.17

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$8.05 HK$2.12 Fair Value HK$3.59 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$2.12 – HK$8.05 · fair‑value band HK$2.69 – HK$4.17 · the HK$2.33 price screens below the HK$3.59 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2625 (2625) currently trades at HK$2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.59 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 2625 generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at HK$361M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.9%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 6.0%
Free cash flow −HK$108M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -53.4%
Net debt HK$361M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2625 reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$36.6M in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.3B
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$1.4B
FY25 HK$1.5B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 HK$36.1M
FY22 HK$50.0M
FY23 HK$266M
FY24 HK$42.7M
FY25 HK$36.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Aeon Co AONNY $8.02 $4.68 -42%
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 5,899 CLP 8,880 CLP +51%
SM Investments Corporation SVTMF $10.15 $21.80 +115%
Ryohin Keikaku Co RYKKY $11.15 $6.53 -41%
Shoprite Holdings SRGHY $18.32 $18.67 +2%
Marks and Spencer Group MAKSY $9.33 $12.57 +35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2625 (2625) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.59 versus a price of HK$2.33 — about +54% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 2625?
Our model-based fair value for 2625 is HK$3.59 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.33.
What is the quality score of 2625?
2625 has a Quality Score of 26/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 2625 (2625)?
2625 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2625?
The net profit margin of 2625 is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.