ALSCO Pooling Service Co Ltd (2649) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$352M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$11.17 to HK$11.18 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 187% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$7.44 to HK$13.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
5‑month range HK$3.69 – HK$6.20 · fair‑value band HK$7.44 – HK$13.97 · the HK$3.90 price screens below the HK$11.18 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ALSCO Pooling Service Co Ltd (2649) currently trades at HK$3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.18, implying the stock looks roughly 186.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ALSCO Pooling Service Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$838M at a net margin of 4.8%. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at HK$63.9M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.0 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.44 (bear case) to HK$13.97 (bull case); at HK$3.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 187%, 2649 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$10.00) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ALSCO Pooling Service Co., Ltd. provides innovative recyclable packaging solutions and shared rental services in global markets. The company offers products, such as Sleeve Box, JET Box, BIGBox, SUPERBox, and Car Transport Frames; and services, including pooling, integrated logistics, and digital intelligent management.
Full company description
ALSCO Pooling Service Co., Ltd. provides innovative recyclable packaging solutions and shared rental services in global markets. The company offers products, such as Sleeve Box, JET Box, BIGBox, SUPERBox, and Car Transport Frames; and services, including pooling, integrated logistics, and digital intelligent management. The company primarily serves the traditional and new energy automobile industries, as well as the photovoltaics sector. ALSCO Pooling Service Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Anwood Logistics Systems (Suzhou) Company Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Suzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
ALSCO Pooling Service Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$838M in FY2024 versus HK$648M in FY2022, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$40.1M in FY2024, compounding +30.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $103.91 | $103.34 | -1% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $326.77 | $347.68 | +6% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.32 | €53.18 | -4% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,380 | kr 712.57 | -48% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $275.96 | $133.80 | -52% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$178.20 | HK$224.41 | +26% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 199,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +135% |
| YTO Express Group 600233 | ¥18.48 | ¥26.51 | +43% |
| JD Logistics, Inc 2618 | HK$14.17 | HK$21.45 | +51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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