8428 (8428) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$76.1M

8 8428 8428 · HK

PriceHK$0.6800

Fair ValueHK$0.3900

Upside-42.6%

Quality50/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3100 – HK$0.5500

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.4850 – HK$0.6800 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.5500 · the HK$0.6800 price screens above the HK$0.3900 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8428 (8428) currently trades at HK$0.6800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3900 — implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8428 generated revenue of HK$44.6M at a net margin of -22.3%. Revenue grew 61.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$44.6M

Revenue growth (YoY) +61.7%

Net margin -22.3%

Return on equity -1,336%

Free cash flow −HK$13.3M FY2024

Operating margin -19.8%

More key figures

Net cash HK$3.2M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8428 reported revenue of HK$30.8M in FY2025 versus HK$12.6M in FY2021, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.8M in FY2025.

Revenue +25.0%/yr

FY21 HK$12.6M

FY22 HK$27.3M

FY23 HK$30.0M

FY24 HK$25.4M

FY25 HK$30.8M

Net income

FY21 −HK$9.9M

FY22 −HK$40.3M

FY23 −HK$22.2M

FY24 −HK$24.6M

FY25 −HK$13.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD	4,928 MXN	2,845 MXN	-42%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX	C$27.68	C$5.93	-79%
Compass Group CMPGF	$32.63	$24.90	-24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS	C$12.49	C$6.55	-48%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM	$150.87	$71.29	-53%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR	$73.20	$42.90	-41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8428 (8428) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3900 versus a price of HK$0.6800 — about −43% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 8428?

Our model-based fair value for 8428 is HK$0.3900 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6800.

What is the quality score of 8428?

8428 has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 8428 (8428)?

8428 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$44.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 8428?

The net profit margin of 8428 is about -22.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.