Rongta Tech (Xiamen) Grp Co (9881) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$1.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$5.54 to HK$5.55 (+0.2%) since Aug 6, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$9.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$3.80 to HK$9.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range HK$8.93 – HK$26.46 · fair‑value band HK$3.80 – HK$9.15 · the HK$17.70 price screens above the HK$5.55 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Rongta Tech (Xiamen) Grp Co (9881) currently trades at HK$17.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.55, implying the stock looks roughly 68.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rongta Tech (Xiamen) Grp Co generated revenue of HK$333M at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$81.7M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 70.8 (as of Jul 3, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.80 (bear case) to HK$9.15 (bull case); at HK$17.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -69%, 9881 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$6.43) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rongta Technology (Xiamen) Group Co., Ltd. designs, research, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells automatic identification and data capture (AIDC) devices and solutions.
Full company description
Rongta Technology (Xiamen) Group Co., Ltd. designs, research, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells automatic identification and data capture (AIDC) devices and solutions. It offers printing equipment, such as receipts, label, and portable printer; commercial scale; home and office series; printer accessories; and POS terminals and PDA equipment, and provision of related solutions. It serves retail, education, catering, logistics, warehousing, health care, manufacturing, hospitality, mobile office and home, asset management, and logistics industries. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Rongta Tech (Xiamen) Grp Co reported revenue of HK$397M in FY2024 versus HK$446M in FY2022, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$46.9M in FY2024, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2022.
9881 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 222 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $484.50 | $187.75 | -61% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $210.50 | $57.72 | -73% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $454.10 | $90.94 | -80% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥287.66 | ¥30.66 | -89% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 6,025 TWD | 2,120 TWD | -65% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥414.30 | ¥91.67 | -78% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$29.04 | HK$4.30 | -85% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥86.42 | ¥39.38 | -54% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥75.02 | ¥44.02 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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