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Adya Inc (ADYA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CA · Market cap C$8.7M

AI Adya Inc ADYA · V
PriceC$0.3700
Fair ValueC$0.2700
Upside-27.0%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range C$0.2000 – C$0.3300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 50 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.3300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$1.65 C$0.0200 Fair Value C$0.2700 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0200 – C$1.65 · fair‑value band C$0.2000 – C$0.3300 · the C$0.3700 price screens above the C$0.2700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Adya Inc (ADYA) currently trades at C$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Adya Inc generated revenue of C$5.9M at a net margin of -12.7%. Net debt stands at C$2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$0.2000 (bear case) to C$0.3300 (bull case); at C$0.3700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 185% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -27%, ADYA screens richer than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$5.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +619%
Net margin -12.7%
Free cash flow −C$703K FY2024
Operating margin -28.8%
EPS (TTM) C$-0.0400
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +209%
Net debt C$2.6M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 99
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Adya Inc., provides telecommunication services in Canada and the United States. The company offers casual calling services; prepaid calling cards; voice-over-internet-protocol services under the Home Phone brand; hosted private branch exchange business services that provide customers with business telephone services; wholesale services; and subscriptions …

Full company description

Adya Inc., provides telecommunication services in Canada and the United States. The company offers casual calling services; prepaid calling cards; voice-over-internet-protocol services under the Home Phone brand; hosted private branch exchange business services that provide customers with business telephone services; wholesale services; and subscriptions services. It also provides wireless services, such as cellular phone communication services, SIM cards, roaming devices, and Wi-Fi roaming solutions directly, as well as through distributors. In addition, the company provides telecom management services, including enterprise connectivity solutions, network and infrastructure management, billing and expense management, and cloud and unified communications cybersecurity and compliance. The company was formerly known as Telehop Communications Inc. and changed its name to Adya Inc. in February 2017. Adya Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada. Adya Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Iristel Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Adya Inc reported revenue of C$1.8M in FY2024 versus C$5.7M in FY2020, a compound −25.2%/yr. Reported net income was −C$595K in FY2024.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
C$1.8M
Latest YoY
−17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−28.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.0%
Revenue −25.2%/yr
FY20 C$5.7M
FY21 C$4.9M
FY22 C$4.2M
FY23 C$2.2M
FY24 C$1.8M
Net income
FY20 −C$784K
FY21 −C$745K
FY22 −C$1.0M
FY23 −C$464K
FY24 −C$595K

ADYA screens 27% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adya Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADYA

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on assets -37% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 619% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.06× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Adya Inc (ADYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.2700 versus a price of C$0.3700, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADYA?
Our model-based fair value for Adya Inc is C$0.2700 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.3700.
What is the quality score of ADYA?
Adya Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Adya Inc (ADYA)?
Adya Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$5.9M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADYA?
The net profit margin of Adya Inc is about -12.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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