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Agile Group (AGPYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $230M

AG Agile Group logo Agile Group AGPYY · US
Price$1.00
Fair Value$2.51
Upside+150.5%
Quality13/100
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Evidence: Low Range $1.73 – $3.17 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$3.41 $1.00 Fair Value $2.51 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $1.00 – $3.41 · fair‑value band $1.73 – $3.17 · the $1.00 price screens below the $2.51 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Agile Group (AGPYY) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 150.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Agile Group generated revenue of $27.9B at a net margin of -77.2%. Revenue declined 35.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -75.5%. Net debt stands at $57.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.73 (bear case) to $3.17 (bull case); at $1.00, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 85% fair-value upside, at 151%, AGPYY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.7%
Net margin -77.2%
Return on equity -75.5%
Free cash flow −$1.9B FY2025
Operating margin -8.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-22.36
EPS growth (YoY) -54.6%
Net debt $57.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the real estate business in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Property Management, and Other Businesses. The company develops and sells properties; and provides property construction, ecological landscaping, intelligent home and decoration, environmental protection, and commercial management services. It also engages in city sanitation and cleaning services, as well as hotel operations and property investment. In addition, the company operates ecological industrial parks and offers industrial hazardous waste and wastewater treatment services. Further, the company provides management consulting and commercial property operation services, as well as engages in commercial and hotel management, and owns a portfolio of shopping malls, hotels, and community/neighborhood businesses. The company was formerly known as Agile Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Agile …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Agile Group reported revenue of $27.1B in FY2025 versus $73.0B in FY2021, a compound −22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.9B in FY2025.

Revenue −22.0%/yr
FY21 $73.0B
FY22 $54.0B
FY23 $43.3B
FY24 $43.3B
FY25 $27.1B
Net income
FY21 $7.7B
FY22 −$14.0B
FY23 −$12.8B
FY24 −$16.2B
FY25 −$20.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agile Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGPYY

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 146,800 VND 367,000 VND +150%
DLF Limited DLF ₹577.70 ₹263.02 -54%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹862.00 ₹721.45 -16%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,325 IDR 1,330 IDR -79%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,592 ₹1,400 -12%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹1,799 ₹1,034 -43%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 2,000 IDR +85%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 565.00 IDR 1,334 IDR +136%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 152.22 IDR +138%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 550.00 IDR 1,375 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Agile Group (AGPYY) undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.51 versus a price of $1.00, about +151% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AGPYY?
Our model-based fair value for Agile Group is $2.51 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.00.
What is the quality score of AGPYY?
Agile Group has a Quality Score of 13/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Agile Group (AGPYY)?
Agile Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AGPYY?
The net profit margin of Agile Group is about -77.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.