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A-Living Smart City Services Co (ALVSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $460M

AL A-Living Smart City Services Co logo A-Living Smart City Services Co ALVSF · US
Price$0.3243
Fair Value$0.8110
Upside+150.1%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.6140 – $1.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $0.8100 to $0.8110 (+0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 150% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6140). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (15 months)

$0.3243 $0.2555 Fair Value $0.8110 Apr 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $0.2555 – $0.3243 · fair‑value band $0.6140 – $1.01 · the $0.3243 price screens below the $0.8110 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

A-Living Smart City Services Co (ALVSF) currently trades at $0.3243, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8110, implying the stock looks roughly 150.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, A-Living Smart City Services Co generated revenue of $12.9B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6140 (bear case) to $1.01 (bull case); at $0.3243, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 150%, ALVSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.27 $7.43 $9.22 80
Residual Income $4.27 $3.87 $2.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF $7.35 $10.11 $13.47 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.13 $7.36 $9.41 38
5Y Revenue Exit $7.35 $10.01 $13.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.00 $14.58 $20.65 41
10Y Revenue Exit $6.64 $8.42 $10.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.25 $11.01 $13.99 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.9400 $1.26 $1.57 58
P/B Multiple $0.9400 $1.26 $1.57 55
EV/EBIT $14.34 $18.42 $22.50 53
EV/EBITDA $14.84 $19.09 $23.33 54
EV/Revenue $8.85 $11.75 $14.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.32 $4.44 $6.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.27 $7.43 $9.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF $7.35 $10.11 $13.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.27 $3.87 $2.61 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.75) versus Economic Profit ($3.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.7%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow $705M FY2025
Operating margin 4.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3200

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

A-Living Smart City Services Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides property management, related value-added, and city sanitation and cleaning services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

A-Living Smart City Services Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides property management, related value-added, and city sanitation and cleaning services in the People's Republic of China. The company offers property management services, including security, cleaning, greening, gardening, repair and maintenance, etc.; and extended value-added services for property developers, such as sales centre property management services, and other extended value-added services comprising property agency services, housing inspection services, etc. It also provides living and comprehensive services, including property maintenance, housekeeping, courtyard gardening, community group buying, express delivery, tourism, community second-hand leasing and sales, comprehensive consulting services, etc.; home improvement services comprising decoration, turnkey furnishing, community renewal services, etc.; community space operation and other services that consist of club house operation, property operation, community-based advertising operation, parking lot management, community asset operation services, etc.; and value-added services to institutions and enterprises, which include featured value-added services for public buildings, such as catering, commuting, and material procurement services, as well as featured value-added services for commercial and office buildings, including customized business platform for enterprises, conferencing services, centralised procurement and retailing for enterprises, etc. In addition, the company offers non-property management services that include pre-delivery, household assistance, property agency, and other services. Further, it offers software engineering, travel agency, information technology consulting, real estate marketing, business consulting, and city sanitation and cleaning services, as well as engages in the general trading and electronic commerce activities. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

A-Living Smart City Services Co reported revenue of $12.9B in FY2025 versus $14.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $105M in FY2025, compounding −53.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.9B
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY21 $14.1B
FY22 $15.4B
FY23 $15.4B
FY24 $13.9B
FY25 $12.9B
Net income −53.8%/yr
FY21 $2.3B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $461M
FY24 −$3.3B
FY25 $105M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A-Living Smart City Services Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALVSF

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +150% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 8 · sector 16
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is A-Living Smart City Services Co (ALVSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8110 versus a price of $0.3243, about +150% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALVSF?
Our model-based fair value for A-Living Smart City Services Co is $0.8110 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3243.
What is the quality score of ALVSF?
A-Living Smart City Services Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of A-Living Smart City Services Co (ALVSF)?
A-Living Smart City Services Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALVSF?
The net profit margin of A-Living Smart City Services Co is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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