Aeolus Pharmaceuticl (AOLS) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $15.2K
Aeolus Pharmaceuticl
AOLS · US
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.2400 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
Aeolus Pharmaceuticl (AOLS) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $771K. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 0%, AOLS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops a platform of novel compounds for use in biodefense, fibrosis, oncology, infectious, and central nervous system diseases in the United States.
Full company description
Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops a platform of novel compounds for use in biodefense, fibrosis, oncology, infectious, and central nervous system diseases in the United States. The company develops a class of catalytic antioxidant compounds as medical countermeasures against nuclear, radiological, and chemical weapons, as well as for diseases and disorders of the respiratory system, central nervous system, and oncology. Its lead compound includes AEOL 10150 that has completed two Phase I clinical trials, which is developed against the pulmonary sub-syndrome of acute radiation syndrome; and for use as a medical countermeasure for exposure to chemical vesicants and nerve agents. The company is also developing AEOL 11207 for the treatment of Parkinson's disease. Aeolus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is based in Mission Viejo, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2012 – FY2016 · reported fiscal years
Aeolus Pharmaceuticl reported revenue of $2.1M in FY2016 versus $7.3M in FY2012, a compound −27.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.6M in FY2016.
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Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 625 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | -52% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹8,500 | ₹1,932 | -77% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,915 | ₹1,163 | -76% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,440 TWD | 233.93 TWD | -84% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,463 | ₹1,001 | -32% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,167 | ₹703.32 | -40% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,281 | ₹2,477 | +9% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,433 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,200 | ₹874.79 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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