Australian Pacific Coal Limited (AQC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$4.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0058). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0054 to A$0.0058), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.6618 · fair‑value band A$0.0054 – A$0.0058 · the A$0.0065 price screens above the A$0.0056 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Australian Pacific Coal Limited (AQC) currently trades at A$0.0065, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0056, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 9/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 70.8% year over year. Net debt stands at A$35.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0054 (bear case) to A$0.0058 (bull case); at A$0.0065, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -14%, AQC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when AQC reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 15 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Australian Pacific Coal Limited acquires, explores for, and develops thermal and metallurgical coal prospects in Australia. It holds 100% interests in the Dartbrook coal project covering an area of approximately 3,268 hectares located in the coal region of the Hunter Valley, New South Wales; and the Matuan Downs bentonite project located in Queensland.
Full company description
Australian Pacific Coal Limited acquires, explores for, and develops thermal and metallurgical coal prospects in Australia. It holds 100% interests in the Dartbrook coal project covering an area of approximately 3,268 hectares located in the coal region of the Hunter Valley, New South Wales; and the Matuan Downs bentonite project located in Queensland. Australian Pacific Coal Limited is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Australian Pacific Coal Limited reported revenue of A$301K in FY2024 versus A$388K in FY2020, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$12.6M in FY2024.
AQC screens 14% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
Compare Australian Pacific Coal Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Australian Pacific Coal Limited (AQC) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AQC?
What is the quality score of AQC?
What is the net profit margin of AQC?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Australian Pacific Coal Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.