BAIC Motor Corporation (BCCMY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026 — revised from $13.25 to $0.5200 (−96.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −26.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.03 – $2.96 · fair‑value band $0.2700 – $0.7200 · the $1.14 price screens above the $0.5200 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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BAIC Motor Corporation (BCCMY) currently trades at $1.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5200 — implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, BAIC Motor Corporation generated revenue of $153B at a net margin of -1.1%. Revenue declined 26.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2700 (bear case) to $0.7200 (bull case); at $1.14, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside — at -54%, BCCMY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and after-sale service of passenger vehicles in the People's Republic of China. It also offers engines, powertrains, power batteries, and other core parts and components for passenger vehicles, as well as range extenders, transmissions, and new energy reducers. In addition, the company is involved in car financing and automobile aftermarket-related activities. It sells its products under the Beijing Brand, Beijing Benz, Beijing Hyundai, and Fujian Benz brand names. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BAIC Motor Corporation reported revenue of $160B in FY2025 versus $176B in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $119M in FY2025, compounding −58.1%/yr from FY2021.
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10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mahindra & Mahindra Limited MHID | $31.10 | $36.77 | +18% |
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $172.03 | $230.51 | +34% |
| VOW3 VOW3 | €87.66 | €102.86 | +17% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$67.90 | HK$42.60 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 511,000 KRW | 793,325 KRW | +55% |
| Tesla, Inc TSLA | 39,580 ARS | 22,068 ARS | -44% |
| General Motors Company GM | $80.43 | $57.28 | -29% |
| Ford Motor Company FMC1 | €12.54 | €12.60 | +0% |
| Ferrari N.V 2FE | €295.15 | €114.02 | -61% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 1,917 MXN | +0% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.