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BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $529M

BM BCI Minerals Limited logo BCI Minerals Limited BIRNF · US
Price$0.2600
Fair Value$0.1020
Upside-60.8%
Quality25/100
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Evidence: Low Range $0.0765 – $0.1530 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.2600 $0.1400 Fair Value $0.1020 Dec 2022 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.1400 – $0.2600 · fair‑value band $0.0765 – $0.1530 · the $0.2600 price screens above the $0.1020 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF) currently trades at $0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.8M. Revenue declined 47.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.3%. Net debt stands at $291M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0765 (bear case) to $0.1530 (bull case); at $0.2600, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -61%, BIRNF screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.8%
Return on equity -9.3%
Free cash flow −$396M FY2025
Operating margin -1,118%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0100
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +224%
Net debt $291M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

BCI Minerals Limited, a mineral resources company, engages in the development of industrial minerals in Australia. It primarily explores for salt and potash deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Mardie Salt and Potash project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as BC Iron Limited and changed its name to BCI Minerals Limited in December 2017. BCI Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BCI Minerals Limited reported revenue of $5.8M in FY2025 versus $162M in FY2021, a compound −56.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$47.1M in FY2025.

Revenue −56.5%/yr
FY21 $162M
FY22 $65.2M
FY23 $60.2M
FY24 $8.7M
FY25 $5.8M
Net income
FY21 $22.0M
FY22 −$15.5M
FY23 $9.4M
FY24 −$15.3M
FY25 −$47.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BCI Minerals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIRNF

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Frequently asked questions

Is BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1020 versus a price of $0.2600, about −61% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BIRNF?
Our model-based fair value for BCI Minerals Limited is $0.1020 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2600.
What is the quality score of BIRNF?
BCI Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 25/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF)?
BCI Minerals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BIRNF?
The net profit margin of BCI Minerals Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.