BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $529M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +4.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.1400 – $0.2600 · fair‑value band $0.0765 – $0.1530 · the $0.2600 price screens above the $0.1020 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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BCI Minerals Limited (BIRNF) currently trades at $0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.8M. Revenue declined 47.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.3%. Net debt stands at $291M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0765 (bear case) to $0.1530 (bull case); at $0.2600, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -61%, BIRNF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BCI Minerals Limited, a mineral resources company, engages in the development of industrial minerals in Australia. It primarily explores for salt and potash deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Mardie Salt and Potash project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as BC Iron Limited and changed its name to BCI Minerals Limited in December 2017. BCI Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BCI Minerals Limited reported revenue of $5.8M in FY2025 versus $162M in FY2021, a compound −56.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$47.1M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.