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bpost NV (BPOST) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BE · Market cap €340M

BN bpost NV BPOST · BR
Price€1.58
Fair Value€11.66
Upside+638.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range €6.33 – €19.20

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −13.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€2.58 €1.58 Fair Value €11.66 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €1.58 – €2.58 · fair‑value band €6.33 – €19.20 · the €1.58 price screens below the €11.66 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

bpost NV (BPOST) currently trades at €1.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.66 — implying the stock looks roughly 638.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, bpost NV generated revenue of €4.4B at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.4%. Net debt stands at €1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin -0.8%
Return on equity -4.4%
Free cash flow €303M FY2025
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -96.8%
Net debt €1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

bpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides parcel logistics solutions in Belgium, France, the Netherlands, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: BU Bpost, BU Paxon, and BU Landmark Global. The company offers postal, parcel, and logistics services, including in-shop delivery, in-home installations, two-man handling, and return/repair/recycle services, as well as cross-border and transportation management services. It also provides e-commerce logistics; fulfillment services; back-office; and proximity and convenience services, as well as sells various banking and financial, postal, and retail products. In addition, the company engages in the distribution of magazines, comics, novels, and puzzle books; automation and the deployment of robots for webshops; customized last-mile and outsourced supply-chain solutions; and repair of smartphones, drones, and coffee machines, as well as delivering and installation of white goods, smart …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

bpost NV reported revenue of €4.5B in FY2025 versus €4.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.2M in FY2025.

Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY21 €4.3B
FY22 €4.4B
FY23 €4.3B
FY24 €4.3B
FY25 €4.5B
Net income
FY21 €251M
FY22 €233M
FY23 €65.7M
FY24 −€205M
FY25 −€40.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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FedEx Corporation FDX €279.20 €124.00 -56%
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $107.24 $104.49 -3%
Deutsche Post AG DPSTF $60.85 $74.58 +23%
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DSDVF DSDVF $233.10 $107.85 -54%
DSDVY DSDVY $116.93 $102.87 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is bpost NV (BPOST) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.66 versus a price of €1.58 — about +639% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BPOST?
Our 21-model fair value for bpost NV is €11.66 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.58.
What is the quality score of BPOST?
bpost NV has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of bpost NV (BPOST)?
bpost NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.4B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BPOST?
The net profit margin of bpost NV is about -0.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.