bpost NV (BPOSY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $388M
bpost NV
BPOSY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.75 – $2.64 · fair‑value band $1.49 – $4.66 · the $1.75 price screens below the $2.80 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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bpost NV (BPOSY) currently trades at $1.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, bpost NV generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.4%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.49 (bear case) to $4.66 (bull case); at $1.75, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside — at 60%, BPOSY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
bpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides parcel logistics solutions in Belgium, France, the Netherlands, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: BU Bpost, BU Paxon, and BU Landmark Global. The company offers postal, parcel, and logistics services, including in-shop delivery, in-home installations, two-man handling, and return/repair/recycle services, as well as cross-border and transportation management services. It also provides e-commerce logistics; fulfillment services; back-office; and proximity and convenience services, as well as sells various banking and financial, postal, and retail products. In addition, the company engages in the distribution of magazines, comics, novels, and puzzle books; automation and the deployment of robots for webshops; customized last-mile and outsourced supply-chain solutions; and repair of smartphones, drones, and coffee machines, as well as delivering and installation of white goods, smart …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
bpost NV reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $4.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$38.6M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FedEx Corporation FDX | €288.80 | €233.43 | -19% |
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPSS34 | R$34.99 | R$25.54 | -27% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €50.82 | €49.70 | -2% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,610 | kr 1,609 | -0% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 180.35 | CHF 118.00 | -35% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $280.75 | $100.80 | -64% |
| 002352 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $183.96 | $79.13 | -57% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $164.71 | $107.79 | -35% |
| S.F. Holding 6936 | HK$30.58 | HK$51.21 | +67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.