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Bowen Coking Coal Limited (BWCCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $36.6M

BC Bowen Coking Coal Limited logo Bowen Coking Coal Limited BWCCF · US
Price$0.3400
Fair Value$0.0340
Upside-90.0%
Quality22/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.5% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0255 – $0.0510 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0255 to $0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.7000 $0.0050 Fair Value $0.0340 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0050 – $0.7000 · fair‑value band $0.0255 – $0.0510 · the $0.3400 price screens above the $0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Bowen Coking Coal Limited (BWCCF) currently trades at $0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 90.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bowen Coking Coal Limited generated revenue of $410M at a net margin of -9.5%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -67.6%. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0255 (bear case) to $0.0510 (bull case); at $0.3400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -90%, BWCCF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0900 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0600 $0.0900 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $410M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.0%
Net margin -9.5%
Return on equity -67.6%
Free cash flow −$85.7M FY2024
Operating margin 0.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.6300

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bowen Coking Coal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of metallurgical coal in Australia.

Full company description

Bowen Coking Coal Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of metallurgical coal in Australia. The company holds interests in the Isaac River Project located in the Bowen Basin in Central Queensland; the Cooroorah Project located north of Blackwater; and the Comet Ridge Project located in Queensland, as well as the Hillalong and Burton Lenton Coking Coal Project in Bowen Basin. It also has interests in the Carborough project; Broadmeadow East coking coal project located in Bowen Basin, Queensland; and the Bluff Mine, an open cut mine located in the southern Bowen Basin. Bowen Coking Coal Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Bowen Coking Coal Limited reported revenue of $442M in FY2024 versus $11.9M in FY2022, a compound +510.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$95.5M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$442M
Latest YoY
+116.1%
Revenue +510.3%/yr
FY22 $11.9M
FY23 $204M
FY24 $442M
Net income
FY21 −$3.2M
FY22 −$18.3M
FY23 −$163M
FY24 −$95.5M

BWCCF screens 90% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bowen Coking Coal Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BWCCF

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 11.12× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,515 IDR 1,267 IDR -16%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $78.91 $18.35 -77%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.34 ¥1.24 -63%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $143.80 $45.29 -69%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.39 HK$2.34 -2%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.54 ¥1.75 -51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.41 ¥1.72 -68%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $12.80 $1.74 -86%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.63 ¥1.91 -27%
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $8.37 $3.67 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bowen Coking Coal Limited (BWCCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0340 versus a price of $0.3400, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BWCCF?
Our model-based fair value for Bowen Coking Coal Limited is $0.0340 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3400.
What is the quality score of BWCCF?
Bowen Coking Coal Limited has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bowen Coking Coal Limited (BWCCF)?
Bowen Coking Coal Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $410M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BWCCF?
The net profit margin of Bowen Coking Coal Limited is about -9.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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