China Education Group (CEGHF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.2B
China Education Group
CEGHF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $1.03 to $1.04 (+1.0%) since Jun 25, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 151% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.6500 to $1.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range $0.4007 – $1.84 · fair‑value band $0.6500 – $1.42 · the $0.4150 price screens below the $1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
China Education Group (CEGHF) currently trades at $0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 150.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Education Group generated revenue of $7.5B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at $4.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6500 (bear case) to $1.42 (bull case); at $0.4150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 151%, CEGHF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($10.41) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Education Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. The company offers junior college diploma, bachelor's degree, master's degree, continuing education programs, and vocational education programs.
Full company description
China Education Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. The company offers junior college diploma, bachelor's degree, master's degree, continuing education programs, and vocational education programs. It also provides educational consultancy services. China Education Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Education Group reported revenue of $7.4B in FY2025 versus $3.7B in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was $977M in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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