CF Energy Corp (CFY) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CA · Market cap C$7.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$0.0832 to C$0.0844 (+1.4%) since Jul 29, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from C$0.0751 (bear) to C$0.1062 (bull), base C$0.0844. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0900 – C$0.6300 · fair‑value band C$0.0751 – C$0.1062 · the C$0.0900 price screens above the C$0.0844 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CF Energy Corp (CFY) currently trades at C$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0844, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CF Energy Corp generated revenue of C$421M at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at C$445M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.0751 (bear case) to C$0.1062 (bull case); at C$0.0900, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -6%, CFY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$0.0948) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.0514). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CF Energy Corp. operates as an integrated energy provider and natural gas distribution company in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Gas Distribution Utility, Integrated Smart Energy, and Smart Mobility segments.
Full company description
CF Energy Corp. operates as an integrated energy provider and natural gas distribution company in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Gas Distribution Utility, Integrated Smart Energy, and Smart Mobility segments. It distributes natural gas to industrial, commercial, and residential users; offers natural gas pipeline installation and connection under contracts with customers; and operates two natural gas refueling stations in Sanya City.In addition, the company transports natural gas through its 2.0 kilometers of pipeline; and develops the Haitang Bay integrated smart energy projects, which uses various clean energy sources, including solar, hydro, electricity, and natural gas to supply cooling, heating, as well as hot water. Further, it provides electric vehicle battery swap services; construction and warehousing; charity and management services. The company was formerly known as Changfeng Energy Inc. and changed its name to CF Energy Corp. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CF Energy Corp reported revenue of C$412M in FY2025 versus C$355M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$20.2M in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.94 | €31.58 | +9% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $169.59 | $85.67 | -49% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $42.01 | $28.59 | -32% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €47.45 | €48.32 | +2% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$6.76 | HK$4.79 | -29% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹177.95 | ₹130.21 | -27% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹660.35 | ₹101.36 | -85% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.32 | ¥25.71 | +48% |
| ENN Energy Holdings 2688 | HK$47.16 | HK$107.98 | +129% |
| China Suntien Green Energy Corporation 600956 | ¥7.26 | ¥7.37 | +2% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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