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Caledonia Investments plc (CLDN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap £1.9B

CI Caledonia Investments plc CLDN · LSE
Price£3.82
Fair Value£4.50
Upside+17.8%
Quality74/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 82.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.01% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range £3.37 – £5.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from £4.47 to £4.50 (+0.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from £3.37 (bear) to £5.62 (bull), base £4.50. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£3.84 £2.53 Fair Value £4.50 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £2.53 – £3.84 · fair‑value band £3.37 – £5.62 · the £3.82 price screens below the £4.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Caledonia Investments plc (CLDN) currently trades at £3.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Caledonia Investments plc generated revenue of £220M at a net margin of 84.3%. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £90.0M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £3.37 (bear case) to £5.62 (bull case); at £3.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 18%, CLDN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £1.03 £1.66 £2.67 80
Residual Income £4.15 £4.07 £3.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8400 £1.33 £2.34 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £3.54 £7.18 £13.93 31
5Y P/E Exit £2.23 £5.13 £9.13 38
10Y P/E Exit £1.85 £4.40 £8.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £1.80 £12.55 £17.61 54
Lynch FV £6.48 £9.26 £12.04 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.7200 £1.30 £1.79 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.7200 £1.19 £1.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.58 £3.44 £4.30 63
P/B Multiple £3.37 £4.50 £5.62 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £2.92 £3.91 £5.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £1.03 £1.66 £2.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8400 £1.33 £2.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £4.15 £4.07 £3.51 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (£9.26) versus Dividend Discount (£1.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) £220M
Revenue growth (YoY) +652%
Net margin 84.3%
Return on equity 6.3%
Free cash flow £35.2M FY2026
P/E ratio 14.2
More key figures
Operating margin 88.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.3500
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,600%
Net cash £90.0M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Caledonia Investments plc is a self-managed investment trust company. It invests in private and public equity markets across the globe. The firm benchmarks the performance of its portfolios against the FTSE All-Share Total Return Index. Caledonia Investments plc was founded in 1928 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Caledonia Investments plc reported revenue of £165M in FY2026 versus £623M in FY2022, a compound −28.2%/yr. Reported net income was £135M in FY2026, compounding −31.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£165M
Latest YoY
+53.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−19.4%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
−2.1%
Revenue −28.2%/yr
FY22 £623M
FY23 £178M
FY24 £236M
FY25 £108M
FY26 £165M
Net income −31.4%/yr
FY22 £611M
FY23 £143M
FY24 £204M
FY25 £66.1M
FY26 £135M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caledonia Investments plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLDN

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Below median
Revenue growth -72% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 15.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 74.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 18 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 69

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Caledonia Investments plc (CLDN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.50 versus a price of £3.82, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CLDN?
Our model-based fair value for Caledonia Investments plc is £4.50 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £3.82.
What is the quality score of CLDN?
Caledonia Investments plc has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Caledonia Investments plc (CLDN)?
Caledonia Investments plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £220M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLDN?
The net profit margin of Caledonia Investments plc is about 84.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 84.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Caledonia Investments plc pay a dividend?
Caledonia Investments plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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