China SCE Group (CSCNF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $44.3M
China SCE Group
CSCNF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band ($0.0102 to $0.0107), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range $0.0105 – $0.0105 · fair‑value band $0.0102 – $0.0107 · the $0.0105 price screens above the $0.0104 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
China SCE Group (CSCNF) currently trades at $0.0105, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0104, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China SCE Group generated revenue of $37.1B at a net margin of -20.1%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $30.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0102 (bear case) to $0.0107 (bull case); at $0.0105, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -1%, CSCNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.47) versus DCF Models ($7.17). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China SCE Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development, investment, and management of properties in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
China SCE Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development, investment, and management of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company develops residential, commercial, cultural tourism, and industrial real estate properties; rents apartments; operates and manages offices, shopping malls, commercial streets and shops; and engages in the real estate management of residential and public facilities, as well as providing financial services, such as fund management and investment. It also trades in construction materials. The company was formerly known as China SCE Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to China SCE Group Holdings Limited in July 2018. China SCE Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. China SCE Group Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Newup Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China SCE Group reported revenue of $37.1B in FY2025 versus $37.7B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.4B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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