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Downer EDI Limited (DNERY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.0B

DE Downer EDI Limited logo Downer EDI Limited DNERY · US
Price$5.95
Fair Value$6.07
Upside+2.0%
Quality58/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $4.13 – $7.59 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $6.14 to $6.07 (−1.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$5.95 $5.59 Fair Value $6.07 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $5.59 – $5.95 · fair‑value band $4.13 – $7.59 · the $5.95 price screens below the $6.07 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Downer EDI Limited (DNERY) currently trades at $5.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.07, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Downer EDI Limited generated revenue of $10.1B at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at $253M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.13 (bear case) to $7.59 (bull case); at $5.95, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 2%, DNERY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow $440M FY2025
P/E ratio 45.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.1300
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.7%
Net debt $253M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Downer EDI Limited operates as an integrated facilities management services provider in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through Transport; Energy & Utilities; and Facilities segments. The Transport segment offers road network management; routine road maintenance; asset management systems; spray sealing; asphalt laying; landfill diversion solutions; rollingstock to infrastructure services; and building and construction solutions, such as signalling, track and station works, bridges, airports, and roads. This segment also manufacturing and supply of bitumen-based and asphalt products; and designs and manufactures life-support services comprising fleet maintenance, operations, and comprehensive overhaul of assets. The Energy & Utilities segment operates power, gas, water, telecommunications, industrial, resources, and energy businesses, which includes planning, designing, constructing, operating, maintaining, managing, and decommissioning of power, gas network …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Downer EDI Limited reported revenue of $10.5B in FY2025 versus $11.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $137M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.3%/yr
FY21 $11.5B
FY22 $11.0B
FY23 $11.6B
FY24 $11.0B
FY25 $10.5B
Net income −6.9%/yr
FY21 $182M
FY22 $152M
FY23 −$386M
FY24 $69.1M
FY25 $137M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Downer EDI Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNERY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Downer EDI Limited (DNERY) undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.07 versus a price of $5.95, about +2% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of DNERY?
Our model-based fair value for Downer EDI Limited is $6.07 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.95.
What is the quality score of DNERY?
Downer EDI Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Downer EDI Limited (DNERY)?
Downer EDI Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DNERY?
The net profit margin of Downer EDI Limited is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Downer EDI Limited pay a dividend?
Downer EDI Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.