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ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd (ECS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · AU · Market cap A$8.0M

EB ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd ECS · AU
PriceA$0.0050
Fair ValueA$0.0049
Upside-2.0%
Quality18/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0045 – A$0.0058 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0440 A$0.0030 Fair Value A$0.0049 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0030 – A$0.0440 · fair‑value band A$0.0045 – A$0.0058 · the A$0.0050 price screens above the A$0.0049 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd (ECS) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0049, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$3.6K. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. Net debt stands at A$6.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0045 (bear case) to A$0.0058 (bull case); at A$0.0050, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -2%, ECS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 61
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0200) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$3.6K
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.5%
Return on equity -1,835%
Free cash flow −A$8.6M FY2025
Operating margin 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.7%
More key figures
Net debt A$6.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd engages in the cultivation, manufacture, and sale of medicinal cannabis products in Australia and internationally. It is involved in the agriculture business. ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd is based in Murrabit, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$19.4M in FY2025 versus A$1.2M in FY2021, a compound +98.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$19.4M
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+54.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+87.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Revenue +98.5%/yr
FY21 A$1.2M
FY22 A$5.3M
FY23 A$15.4M
FY24 A$20.0M
FY25 A$19.4M
Net income
FY21 −A$4.3M
FY22 −A$1.1M
FY23 −A$81.8K
FY24 A$1.9M
FY25 −A$5.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECS

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 7
FUTURE 83 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 -52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹8,500 ₹1,932 -77%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,915 ₹1,163 -76%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,440 TWD 233.93 TWD -84%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,463 ₹1,001 -32%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,167 ₹703.32 -40%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,281 ₹2,477 +9%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,433 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,200 ₹874.79 -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd (ECS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0049 versus a price of A$0.0050, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ECS?
Our model-based fair value for ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd is A$0.0049 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0050.
What is the quality score of ECS?
ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd (ECS)?
ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.6K (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECS?
The net profit margin of ECS Botanics Holdings Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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