PT Gudang Garam Tbk, (GGNPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.6B
PT Gudang Garam Tbk,
GGNPF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $2.09 to $1.70 (−18.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.5575 – $2.79 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $2.12 · the $0.9000 price screens below the $1.70 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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PT Gudang Garam Tbk, (GGNPF) currently trades at $0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.70, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Gudang Garam Tbk, generated revenue of $93.0T at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.9T. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.27 (bear case) to $2.12 (bull case); at $0.9000, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 89%, GGNPF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cigarettes, Paperboards, Infrastructure, and Others segments. The company offers hand-rolled, machine-made, and klobot clove cigarettes under the Gudang Garam Family, Surya Family, and GG Family brand names. It also involved in trading business; and provision of safety protective equipment, airport, toll road, and construction services. In addition, the company offers tobacco processing, non-scheduled air transportation, infrastructure, entertainment, and tourism services. The company was formerly known as PT Perusahaan Rokok Tjap "Gudang Garam" Kediri. PT Gudang Garam Tbk was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kediri, Indonesia. PT Gudang Garam Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Suryaduta Investama.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, reported revenue of $89.4T in FY2025 versus $125T in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6T in FY2025, compounding −27.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PHMO34 | R$444.57 | R$63.29 | -86% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BMT | €52.96 | €37.04 | -30% |
| Altria Group MO | 1,253 MXN | 1,259 MXN | +0% |
| Japan Tobacco Inc JAPAF | $37.74 | $28.77 | -24% |
| ITC Limited ITC | ₹283.65 | ₹243.28 | -14% |
| Imperial Brands PLC IMBBY | $36.49 | $56.53 | +55% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 185,100 KRW | 106,289 KRW | -43% |
| Smoore International Holdings SMORF | $0.9833 | $0.5200 | -47% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 620.00 IDR | 874.33 IDR | +41% |
| Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP | ₹2,171 | ₹1,384 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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