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Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited (GOENKA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹263M

GD Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited GOENKA · NSE
Price₹0.8200
Fair Value₹0.0900
Upside-89.0%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -42.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹0.0800 – ₹0.1100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹4.25 ₹0.5500 Fair Value ₹0.0900 Jun 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹0.5500 – ₹4.25 · fair‑value band ₹0.0800 – ₹0.1100 · the ₹0.8200 price screens above the ₹0.0900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited (GOENKA) currently trades at ₹0.8200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited generated revenue of ₹23.9M at a net margin of -42.8%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.4%. Net debt stands at ₹1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹0.0800 (bear case) to ₹0.1100 (bull case); at ₹0.8200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -89%, GOENKA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹0.0900 to ₹4.91). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1200 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1300 74
NCAV (Graham) ₹3.67 ₹4.91 ₹7.33 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1200 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1300 39
10Y Revenue Exit ₹0.0800 ₹0.0900 ₹0.1100 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue ₹0.0800 ₹0.1100 ₹0.1300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹3.67 ₹4.91 ₹7.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1200 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1300 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹4.91) versus DCF Models (₹0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹23.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin -42.8%
Return on equity -0.4%
Free cash flow ₹2.4M FY2026
Operating margin -48.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-0.0300
Net debt ₹1.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited engages in cutting and polishing of diamonds, color stones, and precious and semi-precious stones in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diamond and Jewellery. The company is involved in the manufacturing, retailing, and trading of diamond and gold jewellery.

Full company description

Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited engages in cutting and polishing of diamonds, color stones, and precious and semi-precious stones in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diamond and Jewellery. The company is involved in the manufacturing, retailing, and trading of diamond and gold jewellery. It supplies polished diamonds primarily to wholesalers, jewellery manufacturers, traders, and retailers. Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited reported revenue of ₹21.4M in FY2026 versus ₹42.6M in FY2022, a compound −15.8%/yr. Reported net income was −₹10.2M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹21.4M
Latest YoY
+57.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.0%
Revenue −15.8%/yr
FY22 ₹42.6M
FY23 ₹16.3M
FY24 ₹6.4M
FY25 ₹13.6M
FY26 ₹21.4M
Net income
FY22 −₹27.4M
FY23 −₹22.9M
FY24 −₹28.5M
FY25 −₹21.0M
FY26 −₹10.2M

GOENKA screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOENKA

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -43% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -49% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 19 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 40
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 193.70 CHF 119.08 -39%
Christian Dior SE DIO €423.60 €1,095 +159%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 771.40 kr 1,424 +85%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹596.70 ₹238.57 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited (GOENKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.0900 versus a price of ₹0.8200, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GOENKA?
Our model-based fair value for Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited is ₹0.0900 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹0.8200.
What is the quality score of GOENKA?
Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited (GOENKA)?
Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹23.9M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GOENKA?
The net profit margin of Goenka Diamond and Jewels Limited is about -42.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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