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Guoco Group (GULRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B

Price$8.34
Fair Value$3.38
Upside-59.5%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.54 – $4.23

Analysis

Guoco Group (GULRF) currently trades at $8.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.38 — implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Guoco Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the principal investment, property development and investment, hospitality and leisure, and financial service businesses. The company offers debt, equity, and direct investments; treasury operations; and investment advisory and management services with trading and strategic investments in global capital markets. It also develops residential and commercial properties; holds properties for rental; owns, leases, or manages hotels under the Clermont and Thistle brands; operates gaming and leisure businesses; and holds casino and other gaming licences, and concession. In addition, the company provides commercial, consumer, Islamic, and investment banking services; and life and general insurance, Takaful insurance, fund management and unit trust, corporate advisory, and stock broking services. Further, it offers royalty entitlement of Bass Strait's oil and gas production; manufactures, markets, and distributes health products;…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.