Hidili Industry International Development Limited (HIIDQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $316M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2040). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9000 – $6.86 · fair‑value band $0.1190 – $0.2040 · the $0.9000 price screens above the $0.1530 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Hidili Industry International Development Limited (HIIDQ) currently trades at $0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1530, implying the stock looks roughly 83.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hidili Industry International Development Limited generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of -56.0%. Revenue declined 35.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.6%. Net debt stands at $6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1190 (bear case) to $0.2040 (bull case); at $0.9000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -83%, HIIDQ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($4.72) versus Asset-Based ($0.8900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hidili Industry International Development Limited, an investment holding company engages in the mining, manufacturing, and sale of raw and clean coal in the People's Republic of China. It also mines for coking coal; and provides clean coal washing services.
Full company description
Hidili Industry International Development Limited, an investment holding company engages in the mining, manufacturing, and sale of raw and clean coal in the People's Republic of China. It also mines for coking coal; and provides clean coal washing services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Panzhihua, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hidili Industry International Development Limited reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $2.8B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$623M in FY2025.
HIIDQ screens 83% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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