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Huhtamäki Oyj (HMKIY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.5B

HO Huhtamäki Oyj logo Huhtamäki Oyj HMKIY · US
Price$8.35
Fair Value$8.60
Upside+3.0%
Quality58/100
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Evidence: High Range $5.68 – $12.56

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $8.66 to $8.60 (−0.7%) since Jun 23, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$9.83 $8.18 Fair Value $8.60 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $8.18 – $9.83 · fair‑value band $5.68 – $12.56 · the $8.35 price screens below the $8.60 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Huhtamäki Oyj (HMKIY) currently trades at $8.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huhtamäki Oyj generated revenue of $3.9B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $864M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $305M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.5100
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.6%
Net debt $864M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Huhtamäki Oyj provides packaging solutions in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, India, Turkey, Australia, Thailand, Poland, South Africa, Spain, Finland, and internationally. It operates through Foodservice Packaging, North America, Flexible Packaging, and Fiber Packaging segments. The company offers beverage-to-go packaging solutions, which includes single and double-wall paper, coffee and cold drinks cups, cup carriers, lids, accessories and short run prints customized paper cups; food-to-go packaging solutions, such as trays, containers, clamshells, scoops, bowls, wraps, and various accessories for take-away and dining; and egg trays, egg cartons, fruit trays, and wine bottle separators. In addition, it provides stickpacks, sachets, and valve pouches for coffee packaging; stand-up and spouted pouches for liquid drinks; and tea bag envelopes, paper tags, and outer packaging for tea packaging, as well as powder drinks packaging. Further, the company offers packaged …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huhtamäki Oyj reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2025 versus $3.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $192M in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 $3.6B
FY22 $4.5B
FY23 $4.2B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $4.0B
Net income −0.9%/yr
FY21 $199M
FY22 $276M
FY23 $206M
FY24 $224M
FY25 $192M

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF $44.20 $27.40 -38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $38.95 $62.16 +60%
Packaging Corporation PKG $234.03 $123.93 -47%
International Paper Company IP $31.85 $48.43 +52%
Amcor plc AMCR $38.17 $17.00 -55%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$141.68 R$105.09 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huhtamäki Oyj (HMKIY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.60 versus a price of $8.35 — about +3% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HMKIY?
Our model-based fair value for Huhtamäki Oyj is $8.60 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.35.
What is the quality score of HMKIY?
Huhtamäki Oyj has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Huhtamäki Oyj (HMKIY)?
Huhtamäki Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HMKIY?
The net profit margin of Huhtamäki Oyj is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huhtamäki Oyj pay a dividend?
Huhtamäki Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.