HOT-U Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CA · Market cap $27.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from $0.3433 to $0.3263 (−5.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −16.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.2750 – $0.5700 · fair‑value band $0.1762 – $0.4755 · the $0.4200 price screens above the $0.3263 fair value. As of Jul 9, 2026.
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HOT-U (HOT-U) currently trades at $0.4200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3263, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, HOT-U generated revenue of $276M at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.1%. Net debt stands at $403M. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1762 (bear case) to $0.4755 (bull case); at $0.4200, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at -22%, HOT-U screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
American Hotel Income Properties REIT LP (TSX: HOT.UN, TSX: HOT.U, TSX: HOT.DB.U), or AHIP, is a limited partnership formed to invest in hotel real estate properties across the United States. AHIP's 78 premium branded, select-service hotels are located in secondary metropolitan markets that benefit from diverse and stable demand. AHIP hotels operate under brands affiliated with Marriott, Hilton, IHG and Choice Hotels through license agreements. The Company's long-term objectives are to build on its proven track record of successful investment, deliver monthly U.S. dollar denominated distributions to unitholders, and generate value through the continued growth of its diversified hotel portfolio.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HOT-U reported revenue of $188M in FY2025 versus $241M in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$74.0M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Residential & Commercial REITs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCR RCR | 6.83 PHP | 17.08 PHP | +150% |
| AREIT AREIT | 37.95 PHP | 94.88 PHP | +150% |
| MREIT MREIT | 13.78 PHP | 22.84 PHP | +66% |
| FILRT FILRT | 2.89 PHP | 1.65 PHP | -43% |
| DDMPR DDMPR | 1.05 PHP | 1.98 PHP | +89% |
| CREIT CREIT | 3.41 PHP | 2.26 PHP | -34% |
| WOTSO WOT | A$0.6050 | A$0.9200 | +52% |
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 196,000 VND | 52,975 VND | -73% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 146,800 VND | 367,000 VND | +150% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.