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Harvest Oil & Gas Corp (HRST) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $3.2M

HO Harvest Oil & Gas Corp logo Harvest Oil & Gas Corp HRST · US
Price$3.13
Fair Value$4.08
Upside+30.4%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.38 – $4.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.50 $0.5690 Fair Value $4.08 Sep 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5690 – $17.50 · fair‑value band $3.38 – $4.78 · the $3.13 price screens below the $4.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Harvest Oil & Gas Corp (HRST) currently trades at $3.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.08, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $33.0K. Revenue declined 65.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.38 (bear case) to $4.78 (bull case); at $3.13, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 30%, HRST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $5.53 $7.41 $11.06 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.53 $7.41 $11.06 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $33.0K
Revenue growth (YoY) -65.8%
Return on equity -20.9%
Free cash flow −$1.9M FY2020
Operating margin -4,994%
EPS (TTM) $-15.68
More key figures
Net cash $10.3M FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Harvest Oil & Gas Corp. intends to undertake the process of winding-up and returning capital to its shareholders. Previously, the company operated as an independent oil and natural gas company in the United States. Harvest Oil & Gas Corp. is based in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2017 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years

Harvest Oil & Gas Corp reported revenue of $33.0K in FY2021 versus $226M in FY2017, a compound −89.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4M in FY2022.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2021)
$33.0K
Latest YoY
−99.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−94.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−82.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.4%
Revenue −89.0%/yr
FY17 $226M
FY18 $250M
FY19 $114M
FY20 $26.6M
FY21 $33.0K
Net income
FY18 −$587M
FY19 −$138M
FY20 −$8.9M
FY21 −$4.7M
FY22 −$2.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Harvest Oil & Gas Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HRST

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +30% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -66% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 10.13× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 96.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harvest Oil & Gas Corp (HRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.08 versus a price of $3.13, about +30% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HRST?
Our model-based fair value for Harvest Oil & Gas Corp is $4.08 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.13.
What is the quality score of HRST?
Harvest Oil & Gas Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Harvest Oil & Gas Corp (HRST)?
Harvest Oil & Gas Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HRST?
The net profit margin of Harvest Oil & Gas Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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