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The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc (HSL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 512M GBX

TH The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc HSL · LSE
Price£9.42
Fair Value£4.90
Upside-48.0%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 46.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.97% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Low Range £2.77 – £6.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £4.80 to £4.90 (+2.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£6.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (£2.77 to £6.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£11.39 £5.56 Fair Value £4.90 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £5.56 – £11.39 · fair‑value band £2.77 – £6.65 · the £9.42 price screens above the £4.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc (HSL) currently trades at £9.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.90, implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc generated revenue of £11.8M at a net margin of 46.6%. Revenue grew 131.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at £68.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.77 (bear case) to £6.65 (bull case); at £9.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -48%, HSL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple £7.37 £9.82 £12.28 55
NCAV (Graham) £5.78 £7.74 £11.56 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple £7.37 £9.82 £12.28 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £5.78 £7.74 £11.56 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (£9.82) versus Asset-Based (£7.74). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.8M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +132%
Net margin 46.6%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow 95.2M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 78.0
More key figures
Operating margin 94.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.1200
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +152%
Net debt 68.7M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Henderson Investment Funds Limited. It is co-managed by Henderson Global Investors Limited. The fund invests in the public equity markets of the United Kingdom. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors.

Full company description

The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Henderson Investment Funds Limited. It is co-managed by Henderson Global Investors Limited. The fund invests in the public equity markets of the United Kingdom. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in growth stocks of small cap companies. It employs fundamental analysis with a bottom-up stock picking approach, focusing on factors such as management quality, financial structure, balance sheet, cash flow, and earnings to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the NUMIS Smaller Companies (ex Investment Companies) Index. The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc was formed on December 16, 1887 and is domiciled in the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc reported revenue of −£40.5M in FY2025 versus £369M in FY2021. Reported net income was −£45.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
£100M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−35.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+2.4%
Revenue
FY21 £369M
FY22 −£172M
FY23 −£109M
FY24 £100M
FY25 −£40.5M
Net income
FY21 £369M
FY22 −£173M
FY23 −£109M
FY24 £93.3M
FY25 −£45.0M

HSL screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HSL

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 47% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 94% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 132% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 78.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 58.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 3 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 59 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc (HSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.90 versus a price of £9.42, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HSL?
Our model-based fair value for The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc is £4.90 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £9.42.
What is the quality score of HSL?
The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc (HSL)?
The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £11.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HSL?
The net profit margin of The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc is about 46.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 46.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc pay a dividend?
The Henderson Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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