KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc (KLC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $493M
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc
KLC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 81% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.81 to $12.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $1.84 – $29.41 · fair‑value band $3.81 – $12.55 · the $5.17 price screens below the $9.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc (KLC) currently trades at $5.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.36, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of -15.5%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -62.5%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.81 (bear case) to $12.55 (bull case); at $5.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 195% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 81%, KLC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($21.34) versus Asset-Based ($4.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. provides early childhood education and care services in the United States. The company offers community-based early childhood education services for infants, toddlers, preschool, and kindergarten students; and customized family care benefits for organizations, including care for young children on or near the site where …
Full company description
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. provides early childhood education and care services in the United States. The company offers community-based early childhood education services for infants, toddlers, preschool, and kindergarten students; and customized family care benefits for organizations, including care for young children on or near the site where their parents work, tuition benefits, and backup care under the KinderCare Learning Centers (KCLC) and Crème School brands. It also provides before-and after-school programs, including summer camp programs for preschool and school-age children under the Champions brand. The company was formerly known as KC Holdco, LLC and changed its name to KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. in January 2022. KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$113M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- KinderCare Commends Recent State Investments in Child Care
- KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Results on August 13, 2026
- KinderCare Expands to Arkansas with Opening of New Bentonville Early Learning Center
- KinderCare Earns Fourth Consecutive WELL Health-Safety Rating
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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