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Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KRSOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $195M

KO Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. logo Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. KRSOF · US
Price$0.2170
Fair Value$0.2000
Upside-7.8%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1400 – $0.2800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1400 to $0.2800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.5000 $0.2170 Fair Value $0.2000 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2170 – $0.5000 · fair‑value band $0.1400 – $0.2800 · the $0.2170 price screens above the $0.2000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KRSOF) currently trades at $0.2170, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 7.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of $11.1B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 195.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $7.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1400 (bear case) to $0.2800 (bull case); at $0.2170, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -8%, KRSOF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1710 $0.2765 $0.4415 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3237 $0.6102 $1.21 74
ROIC Compounder $0.3659 $0.5233 $0.6172 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1826 $0.2564 $0.4714 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2915 $0.5341 $1.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.4398 $0.8335 $1.61 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.1091 $0.2028 $0.3231 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2390 $0.5744 $0.8034 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3426 $0.8466 $1.75 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.1362 $0.2398 $0.3945 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0286 $0.2000 $0.2805 54
Lynch FV $0.1034 $0.1475 $0.1917 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.1034 $0.1475 $0.1917 46
EPV $0.2941 $0.3294 $0.3581 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0695 $0.0928 $0.1159 63
P/S Multiple $0.0538 $0.0716 $0.0896 58
P/B Multiple $0.0538 $0.0716 $0.0896 55
EV/EBIT $0.6269 $0.8360 $1.05 53
EV/EBITDA $0.5805 $0.7742 $0.9680 54
EV/Revenue $0.3273 $0.4680 $0.6087 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0852 $0.1140 $0.1703 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1710 $0.2765 $0.4415 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3237 $0.6102 $1.21 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1089 $0.1002 $0.0706 61
ROIC Compounder $0.3659 $0.5233 $0.6172 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.1371 $0.1960 $0.2547 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.5341) versus Multiples ($0.0928). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +196%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 9.0%
Free cash flow $657M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -30.0%
Net debt $7.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of automotives and related vehicles, and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. It operates through Karsan Branded Products and Spare Parts and other branded sales segments.

Full company description

Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of automotives and related vehicles, and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. It operates through Karsan Branded Products and Spare Parts and other branded sales segments. The company provides passenger cars, trucks, minibuses, buses, hydrogen buses, and electric and diesel buses. It also offers after-sales, marketing, and financial leasing services. The company sells its products under the JEST, ATAK, and STAR brand names. Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey. The company operates as a subsidiary of Kiraca Holding AS.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of $16.6B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +69.4%/yr. Reported net income was $179M in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.6B
Latest YoY
+52.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+80.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+59.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.5%
Revenue +69.4%/yr
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $10.7B
FY24 $10.9B
FY25 $16.6B
Net income +17.2%/yr
FY21 $94.9M
FY22 $119M
FY23 $637M
FY24 $55.5M
FY25 $179M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRSOF

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 196% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.7× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 36 · sector 32
HEALTH 90 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KRSOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2000 versus a price of $0.2170, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KRSOF?
Our model-based fair value for Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. is $0.2000 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2170.
What is the quality score of KRSOF?
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KRSOF)?
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KRSOF?
The net profit margin of Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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