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Medibio Limited (MDBIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.0M

ML Medibio Limited logo Medibio Limited MDBIF · US
Price$0.0029
Fair Value$0.0024
Upside-17.2%
Quality26/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0024 – $0.0024 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0024). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.3600 $0.0014 Fair Value $0.0024 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0014 – $0.3600 · the $0.0029 price screens above the $0.0024 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Medibio Limited (MDBIF) currently trades at $0.0029, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0024, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

It earns a return on equity of -12.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -64% fair-value upside, at -17%, MDBIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.0200) versus Asset-Based ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −$95.4K
Revenue growth (YoY) -99.8%
Return on equity -12.1%
Free cash flow −$162K FY2025
Operating margin -55,089%
Net cash $1.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States.

Full company description

TrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States. The company offers mental well-being solutions for businesses through corporate health product; and develops products for healthcare provider market. The company was formerly known as Medibio Limited and changed its name to TrivarX Limited in October 2023. TrivarX Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Hawthorn East, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Medibio Limited reported revenue of $1.1M in FY2025 versus $1.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$943K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 12/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1M
Latest YoY
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 $1.3M
FY22 $1.0M
FY23 $960K
FY24 $889K
FY25 $1.1M
Net income
FY21 −$1.5M
FY22 −$12.7M
FY23 −$3.1M
FY24 −$1.2M
FY25 −$943K

MDBIF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Medibio Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDBIF

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 125 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on assets -7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $241.51 $91.49 -62%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$183.71 A$23.74 -87%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $59.68 $21.31 -64%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $105.50 $56.63 -46%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $86.32 $24.03 -72%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $58.48 $17.18 -71%
Waystar Holding WAY $24.54 $12.86 -48%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.19 HK$1.04 -87%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $24.99 $25.91 +4%
Privia Health Group PRVA $21.54 $5.26 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Medibio Limited (MDBIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0024 versus a price of $0.0029, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MDBIF?
Our model-based fair value for Medibio Limited is $0.0024 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0029.
What is the quality score of MDBIF?
Medibio Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of MDBIF?
The net profit margin of Medibio Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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