Medibio Limited (MDBIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.0M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +11.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0024). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0014 – $0.3600 · the $0.0029 price screens above the $0.0024 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Medibio Limited (MDBIF) currently trades at $0.0029, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0024, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
It earns a return on equity of -12.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -64% fair-value upside, at -17%, MDBIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.0200) versus Asset-Based ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States.
Full company description
TrivarX Limited, a health technology company, engages in the development of AI-driven, scientifically-based devices for screening and diagnosis of behavioral health conditions in Australia and the United States. The company offers mental well-being solutions for businesses through corporate health product; and develops products for healthcare provider market. The company was formerly known as Medibio Limited and changed its name to TrivarX Limited in October 2023. TrivarX Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Hawthorn East, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Medibio Limited reported revenue of $1.1M in FY2025 versus $1.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$943K in FY2025.
MDBIF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →
Peer Group
Health Information Services · 125 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veeva Systems Inc VEEV | $241.51 | $91.49 | -62% |
| Pro Medicus Limited PME | A$183.71 | A$23.74 | -87% |
| BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG | $59.68 | $21.31 | -64% |
| HealthEquity, Inc HQY | $105.50 | $56.63 | -46% |
| Hinge Health, Inc HNGE | $86.32 | $24.03 | -72% |
| 10x Genomics, Inc TXG | $58.48 | $17.18 | -71% |
| Waystar Holding WAY | $24.54 | $12.86 | -48% |
| XtalPi Holdings 2228 | HK$8.19 | HK$1.04 | -87% |
| Doximity, Inc DOCS | $24.99 | $25.91 | +4% |
| Privia Health Group PRVA | $21.54 | $5.26 | -76% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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