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MIXI, Inc (MIXIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $1.7B

MI MIXI, Inc logo MIXI, Inc MIXIF · US
Price$21.28
Fair Value$36.41
Upside+71.1%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.29% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range $26.96 – $45.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($26.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$42.29 $8.96 Fair Value $36.41 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.96 – $42.29 · fair‑value band $26.96 – $45.51 · the $21.28 price screens below the $36.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

MIXI, Inc (MIXIF) currently trades at $21.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.41, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MIXI, Inc generated revenue of $171B at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $69.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.96 (bear case) to $45.51 (bull case); at $21.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 71%, MIXIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $18.95 $28.29 $43.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF $24.84 $42.72 $68.86 74
ROIC Compounder $18.92 $23.02 $26.22 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $19.50 $27.00 $45.70 38
Owner Earnings $26.57 $46.05 $81.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit $24.84 $42.17 $72.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.66 $50.60 $85.88 41
5Y P/E Exit $28.54 $52.41 $82.74 38
10Y Revenue Exit $22.06 $39.05 $63.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.16 $45.40 $81.84 37
10Y P/E Exit $25.09 $45.21 $79.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.25 $74.31 $104.03 54
Lynch FV $21.68 $30.97 $40.25 50
PEG = 1.0 $21.68 $30.97 $40.25 46
EPV $18.34 $19.87 $21.14 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $27.31 $36.41 $45.51 63
P/S Multiple $21.10 $28.14 $35.17 58
P/B Multiple $21.10 $28.14 $35.17 55
EV/EBIT $33.53 $42.32 $51.12 53
EV/EBITDA $34.62 $43.78 $52.95 54
EV/Revenue $27.15 $35.72 $44.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.74 $11.71 $17.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $18.95 $28.29 $43.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF $24.84 $42.72 $68.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.24 $15.30 $17.29 61
ROIC Compounder $18.92 $23.02 $26.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $30.92 $44.17 $57.42 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($45.21) versus Asset-Based ($11.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $171B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.5%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 8.9%
Free cash flow $10.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 15.8
More key figures
Operating margin 17.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.66
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net cash $69.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MIXI, Inc. engages in the sports, digital entertainment, lifestyle, and investment businesses in Japan. It offers TIPSTAR, a service that offers online betting tickets and live broadcasts; Fansta, a service for finding sports bars; keitan, an auto race app; Chariloto, a site to sell Keirin and auto race betting tickets; Chiba Jets Funabashi, a professional …

Full company description

MIXI, Inc. engages in the sports, digital entertainment, lifestyle, and investment businesses in Japan. It offers TIPSTAR, a service that offers online betting tickets and live broadcasts; Fansta, a service for finding sports bars; keitan, an auto race app; Chariloto, a site to sell Keirin and auto race betting tickets; Chiba Jets Funabashi, a professional basketball team in the B.LEAGUE; F.C.Tokyo, a Japan professional football league club team; netkeiba.com, a horse racing media; Weekly Baseball Online, a baseball information site; and netkeirin that provides various content. The company also offers MIXI M, a platform to integrate personal and payment information, and assets; Monster Strike, Monster Strike Stadium, Kotodaman, and MSonic; MONSTORE, the monster strike online store; MIXI_ANIME and Monstore, an online store; PROMARE, and Pandora and Akubi, an animated movie; Fight League: Gear Gadget Generator, an animated series; and XPICE, a short animation. In addition, it provides mixi, a social networking service that offers space for friendly communication; minimo, a salon artist booking app; FamilyAlbum, a family photo and video sharing app; mixi2, a social network to share the moment and come together; and OKURU, a photo gift service. The company was formerly known as eMecury Co., Ltd. and changed its name to MIXI, Inc. in February 2006. MIXI, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

MIXI, Inc reported revenue of $172B in FY2026 versus $118B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $17.4B in FY2026, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$172B
Latest YoY
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+25.3%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY22 $118B
FY23 $147B
FY24 $147B
FY25 $155B
FY26 $172B
Net income +14.1%/yr
FY22 $10.3B
FY23 $5.2B
FY24 $7.1B
FY25 $17.6B
FY26 $17.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MIXI, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MIXIF

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 24% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.8× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 36 · sector 11
HEALTH 89 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MIXI, Inc (MIXIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.41 versus a price of $21.28, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MIXIF?
Our model-based fair value for MIXI, Inc is $36.41 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.28.
What is the quality score of MIXIF?
MIXI, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MIXI, Inc (MIXIF)?
MIXI, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $171B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MIXIF?
The net profit margin of MIXI, Inc is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MIXI, Inc pay a dividend?
MIXI, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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