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The Merchants Trust Plc (MRCH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 945M GBX

TM The Merchants Trust Plc MRCH · LSE
Price£6.40
Fair Value£9.15
Upside+43.0%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 93.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 80/100
Evidence: High Range £6.86 – £11.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from £8.06 to £9.15 (+13.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 43% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£6.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£6.40 £3.57 Fair Value £9.15 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £3.57 – £6.40 · fair‑value band £6.86 – £11.43 · the £6.40 price screens below the £9.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

The Merchants Trust Plc (MRCH) currently trades at £6.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.15, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Merchants Trust Plc generated revenue of £174M at a net margin of 93.6%. Revenue declined 58.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.9%. Net debt stands at £90.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £6.86 (bear case) to £11.43 (bull case); at £6.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 43%, MRCH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £5.27 £9.31 £15.65 80
Residual Income £6.43 £8.41 £22.53 76
Rev-Margin DCF £3.12 £5.10 £9.28 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit £9.03 £21.32 £38.20 38
10Y P/E Exit £7.93 £19.05 £37.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £7.48 £52.17 £73.21 54
Lynch FV £26.95 £38.50 £50.05 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £2.28 £4.11 £5.66 70
DDM Multi-Stage £2.28 £3.76 £4.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £10.73 £14.30 £17.88 63
P/B Multiple £6.86 £9.15 £11.43 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £3.27 £4.38 £6.53 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £5.27 £9.31 £15.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.12 £5.10 £9.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £6.43 £8.41 £22.53 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (£38.50) versus Dividend Discount (£3.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 174M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -58.0%
Net margin 93.6%
Return on equity 17.9%
Free cash flow 64.2M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 5.7
More key figures
Operating margin 98.1%
EPS (TTM) £1.10
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -60.8%
Net debt 90.8M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Merchants Trust Plc is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Global Investors GmbH, UK Branch. The fund invests in the public equity markets of the United Kingdom. It invests in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the FTSE All-Share Index.

Full company description

The Merchants Trust Plc is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Allianz Global Investors GmbH, UK Branch. The fund invests in the public equity markets of the United Kingdom. It invests in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the FTSE All-Share Index. The Merchants Trust Plc was formed on February 16, 1889 and is domiciled in the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

The Merchants Trust Plc reported revenue of £174M in FY2026 versus £184M in FY2022, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was £162M in FY2026, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£174M
Latest YoY
+61.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+60.5%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+1.9%
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY22 £184M
FY23 £42.0M
FY24 −£19.6M
FY25 £107M
FY26 £174M
Net income −2.8%/yr
FY22 £182M
FY23 £40.2M
FY24 −£30.2M
FY25 £104M
FY26 £162M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Merchants Trust Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MRCH

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +43% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 94% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 98% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -58% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.35× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 91 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 72 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 69

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Merchants Trust Plc (MRCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £9.15 versus a price of £6.40, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MRCH?
Our model-based fair value for The Merchants Trust Plc is £9.15 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £6.40.
What is the quality score of MRCH?
The Merchants Trust Plc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Merchants Trust Plc (MRCH)?
The Merchants Trust Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £174M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MRCH?
The net profit margin of The Merchants Trust Plc is about 93.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 93.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Merchants Trust Plc pay a dividend?
The Merchants Trust Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.68% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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