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PT Meta Epsi Tbk. (MTPS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 169B IDR

PM PT Meta Epsi Tbk. MTPS · JK
Price81.00 IDR
Fair Value62.54 IDR
Upside-22.8%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range 41.95 IDR – 102.06 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (41.95 IDR to 102.06 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

190.00 IDR 5.00 IDR Fair Value 62.54 IDR Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.00 IDR – 190.00 IDR · fair‑value band 41.95 IDR – 102.06 IDR · the 81.00 IDR price screens above the 62.54 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Meta Epsi Tbk. (MTPS) currently trades at 81.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62.54 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -7.4%. Net debt stands at 29.7B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 41.95 IDR (bear case) to 102.06 IDR (bull case); at 81.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 212% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -23%, MTPS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 41.86 IDR 59.62 IDR 89.99 IDR 80
NCAV (Graham) 9.86 IDR 13.21 IDR 19.72 IDR 50
FCF DCF 39.69 IDR 57.98 IDR 91.86 IDR 38
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 39.69 IDR 57.98 IDR 91.86 IDR 38
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.86 IDR 13.21 IDR 19.72 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 41.86 IDR 59.62 IDR 89.99 IDR 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (59.62 IDR) versus Asset-Based (13.21 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue growth (YoY) -100%
Return on equity -7.4%
Free cash flow 10.0B IDR FY2025
EPS (TTM) -4.62 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +489%
Net debt 29.7B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Meta Epsi Tbk. provides engineering, procurement, and construction services in Indonesia. It offers services in the areas of power and industrial generation, transmission, distribution, oil and gas, and infrastructure.

Full company description

PT Meta Epsi Tbk. provides engineering, procurement, and construction services in Indonesia. It offers services in the areas of power and industrial generation, transmission, distribution, oil and gas, and infrastructure. The company also provides project management, procurements, construction and commissioning, and project development services, as well as offers totally integrated EPC solutions. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Meta Epsi Tbk. reported revenue of 0 IDR in FY2025 versus 54.9B IDR in FY2021. Reported net income was −2.6B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
1.3B IDR
Latest YoY
+55.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−71.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−63.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
−11.0%
Revenue
FY21 54.9B IDR
FY22 918M IDR
FY23 854M IDR
FY24 1.3B IDR
FY25 0 IDR
Net income
FY21 −232B IDR
FY22 −43.2B IDR
FY23 −15.9B IDR
FY24 −5.0B IDR
FY25 −2.6B IDR

MTPS screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Meta Epsi Tbk. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTPS

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 81 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Meta Epsi Tbk. (MTPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 62.54 IDR versus a price of 81.00 IDR, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTPS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Meta Epsi Tbk. is 62.54 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 81.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MTPS?
PT Meta Epsi Tbk. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of MTPS?
The net profit margin of PT Meta Epsi Tbk. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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