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Noumi Limited (NOU) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$25.8M

NL Noumi Limited NOU · AU
PriceA$0.0900
Fair ValueA$0.0825
Upside-8.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0490 – A$0.1060

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$2.63 to A$0.0825 (−96.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.2012 A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.0825 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0900 – A$0.2012 · fair‑value band A$0.0490 – A$0.1060 · the A$0.0900 price screens above the A$0.0825 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Noumi Limited (NOU) currently trades at A$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0825 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Noumi Limited generated revenue of A$629M at a net margin of -14.6%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. Net debt stands at A$599M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$629M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.2%
Net margin -14.6%
Return on equity -140%
Free cash flow A$27.7M FY2025
Operating margin 8.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.3300
Net debt A$599M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Noumi Limited develops, sources, manufactures, markets, sells, and distributes plant-based and dairy beverages and dairy and nutritional products in Australia, New Zealand, China, Southeast Asia, South Africa, and the Middle East. It operates through Dairy & Nutritionals and Plant-based Milks segments. The company offers full cream, skim, low fat, lactose-free, flavoured, and fortified/specialty milk; cream; protein drinks; dietary enhancements; and nutritional powders. It also provides long-life plant-based milk products, such as soy, almond, rice, macadamia, coconut, cashew, and others; liquid cooking stocks and meal bases; and on-the-go beverages, which include breakfast drinks, meal replacements, smoothies, and juices. The company sells its products under the Milklab, Australia's Own, Vital Strength, PUREnFERRIN, Crankt, Uprotein, So Natural, Vitalife, PUREnWPC, PUREnMCC, and Noumi Nutritionals brands. It exports its products. Noumi Limited was formerly known as Freedom Foods Gr…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Noumi Limited reported revenue of A$596M in FY2025 versus A$547M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$150M in FY2025.

Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 A$547M
FY22 A$522M
FY23 A$552M
FY24 A$590M
FY25 A$596M
Net income
FY21 −A$53.2M
FY22 −A$161M
FY23 −A$46.9M
FY24 −A$98.3M
FY25 −A$150M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Noumi Limited (NOU) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0825 versus a price of A$0.0900 — about −8% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NOU?
Our 21-model fair value for Noumi Limited is A$0.0825 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0900.
What is the quality score of NOU?
Noumi Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Noumi Limited (NOU)?
Noumi Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$629M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOU?
The net profit margin of Noumi Limited is about -14.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.