Mobico Group (NXPGF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $195M
Mobico Group
NXPGF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $2.74 to $0.3623 (−86.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.2800 – $3.00 · fair‑value band $0.2143 – $0.5116 · the $0.3100 price screens below the $0.3623 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
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Mobico Group (NXPGF) currently trades at $0.3100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3623, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mobico Group generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of -10.8%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2143 (bear case) to $0.5116 (bull case); at $0.3100, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 17%, NXPGF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Mobico Group Plc designs, mobilizes, and operates transport services worldwide. The company operates through UK, German Rail, ALSA, and North America segments. It owns and leases vehicles. The company also provides student transportation, urban bus, regional/long haul coach, and rail; corporate shuttle; transit and shuttle; and charter, private hire, and leisure. In addition, it operates alternative fuel technologies, such as electric and hydrogen. The company has a fleet of approximately 27,300 vehicles, including sedans, minivans, cars and minibuses, double-decker buses, and long-haul coaches. It provides its services to cities, businesses, healthcare, and education providers, as well as direct to customers. The company was formerly known as National Express Group PLC and changed its name to Mobico Group Plc in June 2023. Mobico Group Plc was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Birmingham, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mobico Group reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$294M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.