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Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc (ORIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 329M GBX

OR Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc ORIT · LSE
Price£0.6200
Fair Value£1.08
Upside+74.2%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
10.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range £0.5500 – £1.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 74% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (£0.5500 to £1.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.8685 £0.5152 Fair Value £1.08 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.5152 – £0.8685 · fair‑value band £0.5500 – £1.62 · the £0.6200 price screens below the £1.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc (ORIT) currently trades at £0.6200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 74.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Revenue declined 63.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £10.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.5500 (bear case) to £1.62 (bull case); at £0.6200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 74%, ORIT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.6100 £0.8400 £1.13 72
Gordon GGM £0.4900 £0.8800 £1.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.4900 £0.7600 £0.9400 61
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.4900 £0.8800 £1.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.4900 £0.7600 £0.9400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.4700 £0.6300 £0.9400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.6100 £0.8400 £1.13 72

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£0.8400) versus Asset-Based (£0.6300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −16.7M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -63.5%
Return on equity -4.3%
Free cash flow 33.2M GBX FY2025
Operating margin 120%
EPS (TTM) £-0.0400
More key figures
Dividend yield 10.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -93.3%
Net cash 10.8M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc operates as a closed ended investment company in Europe and Australia. It acquires, manages, and invests in a diversified portfolio of renewable energy assets. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in London, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc reported revenue of £42.8M in FY2025 versus £36.2M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£23.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£42.8M
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.6%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 £36.2M
FY22 £72.2M
FY23 £42.7M
FY24 £42.5M
FY25 £42.8M
Net income
FY21 £34.8M
FY22 £69.8M
FY23 £12.7M
FY24 £11.8M
FY25 −£23.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORIT

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +74% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 120% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -64% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Insider activity: 25/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc (ORIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.08 versus a price of £0.6200, about +74% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORIT?
Our model-based fair value for Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc is £1.08 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.6200.
What is the quality score of ORIT?
Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of ORIT?
The net profit margin of Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc pay a dividend?
Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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